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[SITUATION] · [QUIET]

2 clusters · 4 sources · 21 days · First seen about 1 month ago · Last updated 10 days ago

2026 Super El Niño impacts in SE Asia

Entities: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration · Andie Au‑Yeung Yee‑man · Hong Kong · Chinese University of Hong Kong

Overview

Meteorological agencies forecast a Super El Niño developing between October and December 2026, with rapidly rising sea‑surface temperatures in the central‑eastern Pacific. The anomaly is expected to bring extreme heat, heightened haze risk and intensified rainfall across parts of Southeast Asia. In Malaysia, officials warned that the late‑2026 heatwave could trigger severe haze conditions from November onward. In Hong Kong, scientists projected warmer, wetter winters and an increased likelihood of record‑breaking heat over the next one to two years, echoing the severe flooding and strong typhoon signals seen during the 2015 and 2023 Super El Niño events. NOAA models suggest the phenomenon may persist into the following year, raising concerns about short‑duration cloudbursts, drainage overload and more intense tropical cyclones forming farther east.

Timeline

10 days ago

[INTERNATIONAL] 4 sources
Hong Kong braced for Super El Niño, warns of extreme weather
A Super El Niño is forecast for later this year, prompting a CUHK lecturer to warn Hong Kong of warmer, wetter winters, record heat and stronger typhoons, urging vigilance for extreme rain.
about 1 month ago

[INTERNATIONAL] 2 sources
Malaysia braces for super El Niño heatwave and haze risk from November 2026
Malaysia prepares for a super El Niño from Nov 2026‑Jan 2027, anticipating extreme heat, reduced rain and heightened haze risk, while ASEAN coordinates regional climate response.

Sources

hd.stheadline.com · kliinik.ee · news.hkheadline.com.hk · protathlima.com