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Airbus global aviation market forecasts

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2026-10-20 21:41 UTC → 2026-10-25 18:32 UTC · added ~~removed~~

Airbus has released long-term projections regarding the aviation industry through 2045, highlighting significant needs in both personnel and aircraft. The company’s Global Services Forecast indicates a requirement for approximately 2.44 million new employees, including 1.05 million cabin crew, 730,000 maintenance technicians, and 660,000 pilots, to support expected air traffic growth. To address these needs, the aviation training market is projected to reach $17 billion by 2045. Consequently, Airbus is shifting its strategic focus toward becoming a comprehensive service provider, aiming to increase commercial aircraft services revenue to over $10 billion by 2030. In its Global Market Forecast, Airbus predicts a demand for 42,060 new passenger aircraft over the next two decades. Nearly 47% of these deliveries are expected to be for fleet replacement, a trend driven by aging aircraft following post-pandemic production and delivery delays. The company anticipates that the proportion of latest-generation aircraft in the global fleet will rise from 39% in 2026 to nearly 100% by 2045. Regional growth is noted in Africa, where passenger traffic is expected to nearly triple. Specifically, Ethiopia is identified as a major market, with passenger traffic forecasted to increase almost sixfold between 2025 and 2045. Additionally, the global dedicated freighter fleet is projected to grow by 46% by 2045, reaching 3,460 aircraft. This demand for 2,670 new freighter units will be driven by both market growth and fleet replacement, with the majority of demand concentrated in North America and the Asia-Pacific region.

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