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Demographic and economic shifts in Argentina and Chile
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2026-09-03 21:27 UTC → 2026-09-05 12:14 UTC ·
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Argentina and Latin America demographic Demographic and economic shifts in Argentina and Chile
Argentina is experiencing continues to face a significant structural demographic shift characterized by a sharp decline in birth rates and an aging population. Nationally, data from the Ministry of Health and RENAPER indicate that the decline in births began in 2012, predating the legalization of voluntary interruption of pregnancy. 2012. In 2024, Argentina recorded 402,474 births, representing an 11% decrease from the previous year and a 47% cumulative drop since 2012. In the city of Santa Fe, 2025 marked the first time in recorded history that deaths exceeded births. Local reports show the birth rate in Santa Fe fell from 21.8 per thousand inhabitants in 2014 to 8.7 in 2025, while the mortality rate rose to 10.6. The demographic This contraction is now heavily impacting the educational sector. In Jujuy, officials reported at the First Private Education Congress that births have plummeted by more than 50% since 2015. Sara Salum, Director of Private Education for the province, noted that this trend is 2015, affecting private institutions as shrinking student numbers move from primary to secondary levels. institution enrollments. In the Province of Buenos Aires, the fertility rate is rates are projected to drop from over two children per woman in 2010 to approximately one child per woman by 2040. This decline is particularly visible expected to cause a massive contraction in early childhood education; projections suggest school enrollment, with initial level enrollment could drop from 578,000 potentially losing over 100,000 students in 2024 to roughly 450,000 by 2027. While secondary school enrollment The demographic trend is expected to peak also evident in 2028, neighboring Chile. Research from the Fundación Colunga Observatory indicates that the population of children aged 0 to 5 decreased by nearly 20% between 2017 and 2024, a progressive decline is anticipated thereafter. loss of approximately 300,000 children. The observatory noted a gap between the demographic weight of early childhood and allocated resources, observing that while overall education budgets have increased, spending specifically for early childhood education has declined in certain areas. Experts and the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) attribute these regional trends to socioeconomic factors, including housing access, job precariousness, and economic uncertainty. This shift poses uncertainty, posing long-term challenges for the sustainability of national pension and healthcare systems. sustainability.
Versions
- 2026-09-05 12:14 UTC Demographic and economic shifts in Argentina and Chile
- 2026-09-03 21:27 UTC Argentina and Latin America demographic and economic shifts
- 2026-09-02 22:39 UTC Argentina and Latin America demographic and economic shifts
- 2026-08-31 02:13 UTC Argentina and Latin America demographic and economic shifts
- 2026-08-26 00:01 UTC Argentine public sector, debt, and demographic trends
- 2026-08-25 03:42 UTC Argentine public sector, debt, and demographic trends
- 2026-08-23 10:51 UTC Argentine public sector, debt, and demographic trends
- 2026-08-22 17:19 UTC Argentine public sector and national debt trends
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