Crime rate trends and security impacts in Brazil

Public security data in Brazil shows varying trends in crime rates and economic impacts. In Guarujá, the Public Security Secretariat reported a 44% decrease in robberies in June compared to the previous year, alongside reductions in thefts and vehicle robberies. This decline is attributed to security operations such as ‘Operação Ocupação’ and increased police presence, though some residents express skepticism, suggesting the figures may reflect underreporting due to distrust in authorities.

In São Paulo, while robbery registrations fell by 12% in the first half of 2026 compared to 2025, the perception of insecurity continues to affect the business sector. A survey by FecomercioSP found that 52% of retail companies allocate revenue to security measures, such as monitoring systems and private surveillance. Despite overall decreases, specific high-traffic areas like Avenida Cruzeiro do Sul and Avenida Sapopemba remain robbery hotspots, contributing to increased security spending and reduced consumer flow for some businesses.