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Economic outlook for Barbados and Caribbean nations

Overview

Barbados has demonstrated economic resilience driven by tourism and fiscal reforms. Following the conclusion of an IMF-backed recovery programme in 2025, the IMF approved a new 36-month precautionary Stand-By Arrangement of USD 257 million in June 2026 to support structural reforms. Fiscal consolidation efforts have contributed to a decline in public debt from 104.1% of GDP in FY2023/24 to approximately 93.7% by June 2026.

Recent assessments from the IMF and Afreximbank indicate a transition toward more sustainable growth across the Caribbean. While Barbados is projected to see growth of approximately 1.9% to 2% in 2026, officials note that tourism has been softer than expected due to higher airfares and shorter visitor stays. Despite these challenges, the nation maintains strong primary surpluses.

In Antigua and Barbuda, the IMF projects economic growth of 2.4% in 2026, which exceeds the collective 1.4% forecast for tourism-dependent Caribbean economies, though the country faces risks from high public debt and projected inflation of 4.5%.

Entities

International Monetary Fund · Barbados · Fort Carlisle Residences · Kevin Greenidge · African Export-Import Bank

Timeline

  1. [BUSINESS] 2 sources
    IMF and Afreximbank assess economic outlook for Caribbean nations

    Economic forecasts for Antigua and Barbuda and Barbados indicate a shift toward sustainable growth, with the IMF and Afreximbank noting resilient buffers despite slowing momentum and debt concerns.

  2. [BUSINESS] 2 sources
    Barbados shows economic resilience through fiscal reform and investment

    Barbados is showing economic resilience with steady GDP growth and declining public debt, supported by IMF-backed reforms and a resurgence in tourism and private investment.

Sources

antiguatribune.com · barbadostoday.bb · caribpulse.com · godinterest.com