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Global severe weather and tropical instability

Updated 10 times since CLSTR started tracking revisions of this situation.

What changed

2026-10-12 23:55 UTC → 2026-10-16 14:23 UTC · added removed

Severe weather conditions continue to impact multiple regions, including Spain, Italy, Argentina, and Costa Rica. In Spain and Italy, authorities have activated emergency protocols and suspended public services due to risks of intense thunderstorms, flooding, and hydrogeological hazards. In Spain, the municipality of Los Alcázares has called for a review of emergency protocols after rainfall levels significantly exceeded orange alerts, resulting in mud accumulation and the rescue of dozens of people. In Central America, tropical waves and the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) drive instability. In Honduras, torrential rains have previously flooded neighborhoods and streets, specifically in Tegucigalpa and San Pedro Sula. Recent forecasts from the Secretariat of Risk Management and National Contingencies (Copeco) indicate that Honduras is expected to experience scattered precipitation, isolated showers, and electrical activity across much of the country, driven by the remnants of a tropical wave combined with a trough over the western part of the nation. In Guatemala, torrential rains in Santa María Cahabón caused strong currents and flooding, leading to the activation of disaster reduction committees. In Nicaragua, the Nicaraguan Institute of Territorial Studies (INETER) reports that tropical wave 40 and low-pressure systems are bringing significant rainfall to the Caribbean coasts and central regions. In Costa Rica, the National Meteorological Institute (IMN) reports heavy downpours and thunderstorms, particularly along the central mountainous axis, with accumulations between 15 and 75 mm. Warnings have been issued for moderate soil saturation in the Nicoya Peninsula, Osa, axis. Forecasts predict high morning temperatures followed by intense afternoon showers and thunderstorms that are expected to spread from mountainous areas to the Central Valley, increasing the risk of flooding North Pacific, and overflowing streams. While a disturbance in the Pacific Ocean has a 90% probability coastal sectors of becoming a tropical cyclone, the IMN stated this specific system is not expected to directly affect Costa Rica; rather, local heavy rain is attributed to seasonal patterns Central and the repositioning of the ITCZ. In Mexico, weather South Pacific. The ITCZ remains volatile, with a monsoonal gyre affecting positioned off the Yucatán Peninsula and a cold front triggering alerts coast in Tamaulipas. the Pacific Ocean, meaning local atmospheric conditions will largely dictate weather patterns.

Versions

  1. 2026-10-16 14:23 UTC Global severe weather and tropical instability
  2. 2026-10-12 23:55 UTC Global severe weather and tropical instability
  3. 2026-10-03 14:26 UTC Global severe weather and tropical instability
  4. 2026-10-03 11:01 UTC Global severe weather and tropical instability
  5. 2026-09-29 04:32 UTC Global severe weather and tropical instability
  6. 2026-09-22 17:29 UTC Global severe weather and tropical instability
  7. 2026-09-21 23:32 UTC Global severe weather and tropical instability
  8. 2026-09-20 20:40 UTC Global severe weather and tropical instability
  9. 2026-09-20 05:13 UTC Global severe weather and tropical instability
  10. 2026-09-18 17:23 UTC Global severe weather and tropical instability
  11. 2026-09-12 01:53 UTC Global severe weather and tropical instability

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