Greek economic performance and market trends

Economic indicators and institutional reports regarding Greece show a mix of market expectations and differing assessments of national growth.

Market analysis indicates shifting expectations for European Central Bank interest rate hikes, with the probability of a September increase dropping from 95% in July to 75%. In the corporate sector, UBS issued a ‘buy’ recommendation for GEK TERNA, citing infrastructure concessions as drivers for long-term growth. Additionally, the tanker shipping market has seen a decrease in secondary market transactions as shipowners hold onto profitable assets amid high charter rates.

Regarding national performance, the Bank of Greece reported that the economy grew by 2.1% in 2025, driven by investments, private consumption, and exports. However, the GSEE Labor Institute offered a more cautious view, characterizing the period as one of relative stabilization rather than transformation. The GSEE argued that Greece lacks the structural change seen in more dynamic EU economies and noted that limited economic convergence is reflected in real GDP per capita.