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Indonesian mining and energy policy shifts

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2026-10-22 23:24 UTC → 2026-10-23 02:14 UTC · added ~~removed~~

The Indonesian government has introduced significant regulatory and energy policy changes affecting the mining and fuel sectors. Minister Bahlil Lahadalia has implemented Regulation Number 12 of 2026, which restructures licensing mechanisms for mineral and coal mining to emphasize transparency and priority schemes based on geological potential, local economic benefits, and downstreaming efforts. To capitalize on rising coal prices, the government is relaxing 2026 coal production targets, aiming to increase output from an initial 600 million tons to approximately 700 million tons. Simultaneously, the energy sector is managing the transition to the B50 mandatory biodiesel program, which uses a 50% palm oil mixture to reduce diesel imports. Despite this mandate, certain mining entities, including PT Kaltim Prima Coal, have been identified as still seeking diesel import permits. Recent developments indicate a focus on price stability and energy security. Minister Bahlil Lahadalia confirmed that subsidized fuel prices will not increase despite the Indonesian Crude Price averaging approximately USD 92 per barrel, which exceeds the state budget assumption of USD 70. The government maintains that prices can remain stable as long as crude stays below USD 100 per barrel. To bolster national energy security amidst geopolitical uncertainty, the government is considering halting the extension of natural gas export contracts to neighboring countries to prioritize domestic needs. Minister Bahlil stated that Indonesia is entering a ‘survival mode’ to ensure national energy security, noting that the government will evaluate agreements with partners that do not demonstrate mutual respect or cooperation. Furthermore, non-tax state revenue (PNBP) from coal and mineral mining is projected to exceed Rp 160 trillion, surpassing the initial budget target of Rp 133 trillion, even as national coal production volumes decrease. Infrastructure expansion is also underway to support these goals.

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