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Declining mango production in Latin America

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2026-08-27 13:36 UTC → 2026-08-28 09:22 UTC · added ~~removed~~

Mango production across several Latin American regions is experiencing significant declines due to climate volatility and severe weather. In Mexico, production in Nayarit has suffered a loss of approximately 80%. In southern Sinaloa, production is expected to reach only 20 percent of 2025 levels, with export volumes potentially dropping from 150,000 tons to roughly 30,000 tons. In Escuinapa, many growers reported minimal or zero harvests. These shortages have forced packinghouse operations in southern Sinaloa to run at only 40 percent capacity, requiring producers to source fruit from states like Oaxaca to maintain supply. While scarcity has led to higher prices—fluctuating between 5 and 10 pesos per kilogram—the increased costs and lower yields have prevented these gains from offsetting overall production losses. In Peru, the harvest is projected to decrease by approximately 60% due to the El Niño phenomenon. Exportable production is estimated to fall to between 80,000 and 100,000 tons. The impact is severe in Piura, where flowering rates are reported at only 10% to 15%. In Casma, flowering rates are below 10% in lower production areas. In Lambayeque, there are warnings that yields could drop to zero if rainfall mirrors extreme historical events. Additionally, Ecuador is facing a weakened season, with production expected to drop from 14–15 million cartons to 3–4 million cartons. Recent data confirms the ongoing crisis in Peru, where higher minimum temperatures have hindered flowering. According to industry association Apem, mango exports dropped from 287,424 tons in 2024–25 to 223,686 tons in 2025–26. Producers are also struggling with doubling cultivation costs and fruit maturity standards. In Mexico, the season is concluding with lower-than-forecasted levels due to weather in Nayarit and Sinaloa. While southern regions like Chiapas and Oaxaca showed initial growth, the northern declines necessitated downward revisions of total forecasts.

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