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Mexico demographic aging and socioeconomic impact

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2026-10-10 00:24 UTC → 2026-10-16 23:54 UTC · added ~~removed~~

Mexico is undergoing a rapid demographic transition characterized by an aging population and declining fertility. Data from the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) indicates that individuals aged 60 and older account for approximately 14% of the population. Projections suggest that by 2030, older adults will outnumber children under 14, and by 2050, one in four residents will be of retirement age. Recent data highlights a long-term decline in marriage and birth rates. The national marriage rate dropped from 6.9 per thousand inhabitants in 2015 to 5.4 in ~~2024.~~ 2024, and the average age for women to marry has risen to 32.5. Total births fell from 2.35 million in 2015 to ~~1.68~~ approximately 1.67 million in 2024, the ~~most recent reporting period. More recent INEGI data shows~~ lowest since 2020. This represents an annual reduction in the ~~average~~ birth rate ~~fell from 2.1~~ of 8.16 percent. The average number of children ~~in 2020 to~~ per woman has dropped from 1.9 ~~in 2025. There is~~ to 1.2 over a ~~significant correlation between education and fertility: women~~ five-year period, with ~~higher education levels average 1.2 children, compared to 4.9~~ Mexico City recording a fertility rate of 0.8. Regional variations are notable; for ~~those without formal education.~~ instance, Jalisco has seen births per thousand inhabitants drop from 45.38 in 1970 to 15.76 in recent years. This shift is complicated by a paradox in reproductive trends. In the State of Mexico, high population density contributes to significant numbers of births among ~~minors. In 2025, 9,833 births were recorded for mothers aged 10 to 17, with 1,930 births attributed to mothers under 15. This is most acute~~ minors, particularly in marginalized urban peripheries such as Ecatepec, Chimalhuacán, Nezahualcóyotl, Naucalpan, Chalco, and Toluca. Newer data indicates the decline is accelerating; births fell to approximately 1.67 million in 2024, the lowest since 2020, and the average number of children per woman dropped from 1.9 to 1.2 over a five-year period. Notably, Mexico City recorded a fertility rate of 0.8. peripheries. Economic shifts are also visible in household spending, where pet food expenditures increased by 61% between 2018 and 2024, while spending on diapers decreased. Experts suggest these trends are driven by multifactorial social and economic reasons, including the long-term impact of contraceptive promotion programs.

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