[REVISION HISTORY]

Mexico violent crime decline continues amid regional spikes

Updated 51 times since CLSTR started tracking revisions of this situation.

What changed

2026-09-11 02:03 UTC → 2026-09-11 16:36 UTC · added ~~removed~~

The downward trajectory in violent crime persisted through mid‑2026, driven by the four‑pillar National Security Strategy. President Claudia Sheinbaum and Marcela Figueroa, head of the Secretariado Ejecutivo del Sistema Nacional de Seguridad Pública (SESNIP), reported a 51% reduction in the daily average of intentional homicides between September 2024 and July 2026. By August 2026, the national Security Cabinet reported a record low of only 20 homicides in a single day. Year-to-date figures for 2026 show 11,201 homicides from January to August, a 39% decrease compared to the 18,333 cases recorded during the same period in 2025. However, the decline is subject to debate. Opposition leaders, such as Senator Ricardo Anaya, have suggested potential statistical manipulation, while security experts suggest the reduction may stem from government action, changes in recording methods, or the reorganization of criminal groups. Regional volatility remains, with Guanajuato, Baja California, and Chihuahua among the states with the highest homicide concentrations. Data from the 2026 National Survey of Victimization and Perception of Public Security (ENVIPE) released by INEGI underscores a massive gap in the justice system. The survey reveals a 93.4% ‘hidden figure’ of crimes that are either not reported or not investigated. Of the estimated 33.8 million crimes in 2025, only 9% were reported to authorities. Among those reported, only 16% resulted in a positive outcome for the victim, ~~while~~ meaning only 1.1% of total crimes reached a successful resolution. Furthermore, 77.6% of investigations reached no conclusion. Perceptions of insecurity vary by region; 74% of adults perceive insecurity nationally. The highest levels are reported in the State of Mexico (90%) and Morelos (88.7%), while Coahuila (27.8%) and Yucatán (35.5%) report the lowest. ~~Regarding law enforcement, the Mexican Navy (Marina) inspires the highest level of trust nationally, while Querétaro State Police ranked in the top five for both performance and citizen trust.~~

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