[BUSINESS] · United States, Iran, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Russia · 100 sources

started 4 days ago · updated about 5 hours ago

Part of situation: US-Iran Hormuz conflict: Maritime impasse and price surges (1316 clusters)

Oil markets face volatility amid Strait of Hormuz tensions and lowered demand forecasts

oil market volatility Strait of Hormuz OPEC demand forecast energy security crude oil prices

Global oil markets are experiencing significant volatility driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and revised demand forecasts. The ongoing conflict involving Iran has created severe disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical maritime passage. Recent data indicates that vessel transits through the strait have dropped to recent lows, with some reports noting only eight vessels passing through on a single day.

In response to these supply risks, the International Energy Agency (IEA) and OPEC have both lowered their global oil demand growth projections for 2026. The IEA specifically anticipates a decrease in demand of 1.6 million barrels per day due to the Hormuz closure and high fuel prices. OPEC has also revised its 2026 growth forecast downward to 580,000 barrels per day.

On the supply side, OPEC+ has approved a production quota increase of approximately 188,000 barrels per day starting in September. Meanwhile, Venezuela reported an increase in crude production, reaching an average of 1.2 million barrels per day in July.

Market prices remain sensitive to political statements and strategic maneuvers. While President Donald Trump has asserted U.S. control over the Strait of Hormuz, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has raised its 2026 Brent crude forecast to $87 per barrel, citing navigation constraints. Additionally, the U.S. has seen a sharp rise in crude inventories, with reports indicating a build of approximately 9.1 million barrels.

Entities

Ardea · Carabinieri · Davide Tabarelli · Donald Trump · EIA · Energy Information Administration · Garante per la Sorveglianza Prezzi · Guardia di Finanza · International Energy Agency · Iran · Iran · Italy

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how well corroborated each claim is across sources.

[● 20 SOURCES] The Guardia di Finanza conducted 1,371 interventions regarding energy product excise duties between March 1 and July 31, 2026. www.reggio2000.it · www.modena2000.it · www.legnanonews.com · www.basilicata24.it · www.imgpress.it · +7 more
[● 20 SOURCES] The Guardia di Finanza filed legal complaints against 265 subjects. www.reggio2000.it · www.modena2000.it · www.legnanonews.com · www.basilicata24.it · www.imgpress.it · +7 more
[● 20 SOURCES] Fraudulent consumption of more than 6.5 million kilograms of fuel was identified. www.reggio2000.it · www.modena2000.it · www.legnanonews.com · www.basilicata24.it · www.imgpress.it · +7 more
[● 20 SOURCES] Authorities seized over 20 million kilograms of energy products. www.reggio2000.it · www.modena2000.it · www.legnanonews.com · www.basilicata24.it · www.imgpress.it · +7 more
[● 3 SOURCES] The Guardia di Finanza conducted 3,428 inspections at roadside distribution sites, resulting in 2,279 violations reported across 937 operators. www.vetrinatv.it · www.terranostranews.it
[● 2 SOURCES] Gasoline and diesel prices could potentially reach 2.50 or 3 euros per liter. www.codirp.it · pugliasera.it
[● 2 SOURCES] Fuel prices for gasoline and diesel have risen from approximately 1.65-1.70 euros per liter a year ago to over 2 euros per liter. www.codirp.it · pugliasera.it
[○ 1 SOURCE] Only eight ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Monday, compared to a pre-war average of 120 ships. arabic.cnn.com
[○ 1 SOURCE] Approximately 9 million barrels of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz during a one-week period.
[○ 1 SOURCE] Energy transit through the Strait of Hormuz is expected to remain limited until the end of August. arabic.cnn.com
[○ 1 SOURCE] The EIA raised its 2026 Brent crude oil price forecast to $87 per barrel from $82 per barrel. arabic.cnn.com
[● 2 SOURCES] Brent crude oil rose 1% on Tuesday, briefly exceeding $90 per barrel. jornaleconomico.sapo.pt

Sources

Güne Başlarken: Petrolde talep endişesi fiyatları aşağı çekti, gözler TCMB’de | EKOTÜRK [www.ekoturk.com]

about 16 hours ago

Trump Rebukes Exxon and Chevron Profits - The New York Report [www.nyreport.com]

about 5 hours ago

OPEC+’tan Eylül kararı: Günlük 188 bin varillik üretim artışı [www.cnbce.com]

1 day ago

Why the Middle East war still convulses the oil market [myrepublica.nagariknetwork.com]

about 18 hours ago

Saudi Road Through Empty Quarter Emerges as Strategic Gulf Bypass [vinnews.com]

about 7 hours ago

Oct Crude Oil at Highest Level Since July 31 - ADMISI [www.admisi.com]

2 days ago

Heizölpreise klettern auf 3,5-Monatshoch [www.finanznachrichten.de]

1 day ago

China es la nueva gran potencia petrolera mundial - Asia InfoNews [asiainfonews.com]

2 days ago

مضيق هرمز. . مسؤولون أمريكيون يحذرون من ارتفاع أسعار النفط [arabic.cnn.com]

2 days ago

L'Agència Internacional de l'Energia empitjora les seves previsions sobre el mercat del petroli [www.ara.cat]

1 day ago

Bolsas europeias fecham em queda [www.brasilemfolhas.com.br]

about 21 hours ago

Caro carburanti, Tabarelli (Nomisma Energia): “Non escludo scenari con benzina e diesel a 2,5-3 euro al litro” – CODIRP [www.codirp.it]

3 days ago

Médio Oriente: Brent estabiliza apesar das preocupações com bloqueio de Ormuz | Jornal Económico [jornaleconomico.sapo.pt]

2 days ago

Mercati, petrolio sopra 90 dollari e oro ai massimi: il prezzo dell’incertezza [italiaveranews.it]

1 day ago

Borse europee in rialzo: l’effetto delle trattative sullo stretto di Hormuz [www.notizie.it]

2 days ago

Iran Siap Perang Panjang, Ini Syarat Pembukaan Hormuz [news.harianjogja.com]

about 14 hours ago

Oil rises after attacks on ships in Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb - EUROPE SAYS [www.europesays.com]

1 day ago

Producción petrolera de Venezuela subió hasta 1. 200. 000 barriles por día en julio - Foco Informativo [focoinformativo.site]

1 day ago

Petróleo fecha em leve alta com tensões no Oriente Médio e preocupações com demanda - Diário do Grande ABC [www.dgabc.com.br]

1 day ago

Preço do petróleo estável em meio à tensão no Estreito de Ormuz – Imprensa Pública [imprensapublica.com.br]

about 20 hours ago

Petrolio in Ascesa! Eni e Tenaris Brillano a Milano, Scopri i Dettagli - Infoinsubria [www.infoinsubria.com]

about 5 hours ago

Petróleo dispara com impasse entre EUA e Irã sobre Estreito de Hormuz - LBC Sistemas [lbc.com.br]

2 days ago

Carburanti, la Guardia di Finanza rafforza i controlli sulla filiera - LegnanoNews [www.legnanonews.com]

4 days ago

وكالة الطاقة الدولية تحذر من عجز نفطي جراء الحرب [www.aljazeera.net]

1 day ago

Oil drops on lower demand forecasts despite deadlock in US-Iran talks [mix929.com]

about 19 hours ago

Parte da produção de petróleo do Oriente Médio continuará paralisada até 2027, diz agência dos EUA [valor.globo.com]

2 days ago

عجز يومي في أسواق النفط يبلغ 1. 8 مليون برميل. . الأكبر منذ خمس سنوات » عكاظ اليوم [okaznews.net]

1 day ago

Caro carburanti, Tabarelli (Nomisma Energia): “Non escludo scenari con benzina e diesel a 2,5-3 euro al litro” [pugliasera.it]

3 days ago

Carburanti, maxi controlli della Finanza: 20mila tonnellate sequestrate e 265 denunce [www.reggio2000.it]

4 days ago

OPEC: Μικρότερη ζήτηση το 2024, ισχυρή ανάκαμψη έως το 2027 - SBC TV [www.sbctv.gr]

1 day ago

IEA expects world oil demand to fall amid surging gas prices - The Crystal Eyes [thecrystaleyes.com]

about 6 hours ago

Governo Trump diz que petróleo está fluindo, mas dados mostram outra coisa | CNN Brasil [www.cnnbrasil.com.br]

about 13 hours ago

Are global oil stocks big enough to weather another six months of US-Iran war? [wdez.com]

about 9 hours ago

Carburanti, la Guardia di Finanza rafforza i controlli - Basilicata24 [www.basilicata24.it]

4 days ago

Trump Administration Says Gulf Oil Flows Recover to 15 Million Barrels a Day [gcaptain.com]

2 days ago

US yields ease as CPI caution offsets Oil rally [bitcoinethereumnews.com]

2 days ago

Iran, Araghchi: "Gli Usa stanno facendo grave errore di valutazione su Hormuz" - Calabria News [www.calabrianews.it]

about 11 hours ago

Petrol fiyatları geriledi: OPEC ve UEA talep tahminlerini düşürdü - Sözcü Gazetesi [www.sozcu.com.tr]

about 15 hours ago

Irán advierte a EEUU de que incurre en "un error de cálculo aún mayor" que la guerra si cree que controla Ormuz [www.diarioestrategia.cl]

about 5 hours ago

US Energy Agency Hikes Crude Price Forecast, Oil Flow Falls 77% [dmarketforces.com]

1 day ago

Ropa drożeje czwarty dzień. Trump dokłada Iranowi nowy warunek [dzienniknarodowy.pl]

2 days ago

YPF tuvo el mejor trimestre de su historia: sus ganancias saltaron casi 200% impulsadas por el precio del petróleo [eldebate.com.ar]

2 days ago

Pétrole : L’AIE abaisse ses prévisions de demande mondiale pour 2026 [www.entreprises-magazine.com]

1 day ago

Petróleo supera US$ 85 ao ameaçar inflação no Paraná | Blog do Esmael [www.esmaelmorais.com.br]

3 days ago

No reopening of SoH anytime soon. Winter could be expensive for oil product consumers - Pressen. se [www.pressen.se]

2 days ago

荷莫茲海峽續封鎖，國際能源總署再下修石油需求預測 [technews.tw]

about 19 hours ago

Maior refinaria da Petrobras, Replan registra recorde de produção no 1º semestre desde 2000 em Paulínia - Folha de Valinhos [www.folhadevalinhos.com.br]

2 days ago

Carburanti, verifiche rafforzate anche in Abruzzo - Giulianova. it [www.giulianova.it]

3 days ago

Prognoza SAD-a: Nafta bi ove godine mogla biti znatno skuplja [www.haber.ba]

2 days ago

Carburanti, la Guardia di finanza rafforza i controlli sulla filiera - imgpress [www.imgpress.it]

3 days ago

Iran, Araghchi: "Gli Usa stanno facendo grave errore di valutazione su Hormuz" - InLibertà [www.inliberta.it]

about 11 hours ago

Ölpreise stoppen Anstieg: IEA und Opec senken Nachfrageprognosen für Brent [www.it-boltwise.de]

1 day ago

Wie setzt sich der Spritpreis zusammen? So hoch sind die Steuern bei Benzin und Diesel [www.ka-news.de]

about 17 hours ago

米イラン暫定合意の復活に向けた協議に進展なし＝報道 [kagonma-info.com]

1 day ago

„Auch gegen unsere besten Freunde“: Netanyahu trotzt Trump – und der Bruch zwischen beiden wird tiefer [www.kurierverlag.de]

1 day ago

Iran, Araghchi: “Gli Usa stanno facendo grave errore di valutazione su Hormuz” - lacronaca24. it [www.lacronaca24.it]

about 11 hours ago

Estrecho de Ormuz redefine el panorama energético para las empresas [www.liderempresarial.com]

1 day ago

¿Qué quiere decir Trump cuando afirma que lleva las negociaciones con Irán a un nivel “low-key”? - WTOP News [wtop.com]

about 6 hours ago

Designer fuels, depositi e distributori clandestini, i metodi più diffusi per le frodi. Denunciate 265 persone - Livornopress - notizie livorno [livornopress.it]

4 days ago

Stretto di Hormuz, traffici ancora al palo e supply chain sotto stress - Metalli Rari [www.metallirari.com]

about 12 hours ago

Mercati finanziari in tensione per lo Stretto di Hormuz: petrolio. . . | Milano Notizie [milano.notizie.it]

3 days ago

Carburanti, maxi controlli della Finanza: 20mila tonnellate sequestrate e 265 denunce [www.modena2000.it]

4 days ago

Διεθνής Οργανισμός Ενέργειας: Αναθεωρεί προς τα κάτω την πρόβλεψη για την παγκόσμια ζήτηση πετρελαίου το 2026 [myportal.gr]

1 day ago

Race to Reopen the Strait of Hormuz Intensifies as Supply Chain Stress Persists [newstarget.com]

2 days ago

Venezuela reportó a la OPEP producción de 1. 200. 000 barriles diarios en julio [noticiasaldiayalahora.co]

1 day ago

Oil prices settle up as Iran says Strait of Hormuz to stay shut - Oil & Gas 360 [www.oilandgas360.com]

2 days ago

Are global oil stocks big enough to weather another six months of US-Iran war? [kelo.com]

about 9 hours ago

Petrobras tem lucro líquido de R$ 52,4 bilhões no segundo trimestre - Paraíba Total [paraibatotal.com.br]

3 days ago

Cieśnina Ormuz dobija obietnice Trumpa. Ropa znów drożeje [polityka.co.pl]

2 days ago

Carburanti, in 5 mesi di controlli 20mila tonnellate di prodotti energetici sequestrati - Prima Como [primacomo.it]

3 days ago

Carburanti, controlli della Guardia di finanza: oltre 3. 400 verifiche e centinaia di irregolarità - Prima Lecco [primalecco.it]

3 days ago

Oil prices rise as Hormuz tensions, supply disruptions persist [realnewsmagazine.net]

1 day ago

Oil prices rise as attacks dent hopes for Strait of Hormuz reopening [www.aljazeera.com]

1 day ago

Oil drops on lower demand forecasts despite deadlock in US-Iran talks - SABC News - Breaking news, special reports, world, business, sport coverage of all South African current events. Africa's news leader. [www.sabcnews.com]

about 15 hours ago

Fluxo de petróleo em Ormuz não voltou ao normal, apontam dados - SpaceMoney [www.spacemoney.com.br]

about 14 hours ago

Oil drops on lower demand forecasts despite deadlock in US-Iran talks - SRN News [srnnews.com]

about 18 hours ago

Shares are mostly higher in Asia, with Kospi up 4%, while oi. . . [www.standard-democrat.com]

1 day ago

Carburanti, la stretta della Finanza: sequestrate 20 mila tonnellate - TerranostraNews [www.terranostranews.it]

4 days ago

¿Por qué el mercado petrolero tiene los nervios de punta con Medio Oriente? [udgtv.com]

2 days ago

Carburanti, frodi e prezzi nel mirino della Guardia di Finanza: sequestrate 20mila tonnellate, 265 denunciati [www.vetrinatv.it]

3 days ago

Oil drops on lower demand forecasts despite deadlock in US-Iran talks [wixx.com]

about 19 hours ago

Oil rises as doubts over US-Iran deal heighten supply concerns [wkzo.com]

2 days ago

Oil drops on lower demand forecasts despite deadlock in US-Iran talks [wxerfm.com]

about 19 hours ago

Brent Oil Price Falls After Recovery Failed to Clear Important $90 Barrier - ActionForex [www.actionforex.com]

2 days ago

Middle East escalation and potential implications for nitrogen and farm costs | AHDB [ahdb.org.uk]

about 19 hours ago

انقسام بين وكالة الطاقة وأوبك حول توقعات الطلب على النفط مع استمرار إغلاق هرمز [arabic.euronews.com]

1 day ago

イラン、米国との暫定和平合意の復活に進展なしと表明 [www.arabnews.jp]

about 13 hours ago

Le previsioni energetiche a breve termine della Energy Information Administration statunitense [aresdifesa.it]

about 7 hours ago

Energia, estate di rincari. Imprese in allarme: “Rispondiamo con soluzioni efficienti” [www.arezzonotizie.it]

3 days ago

Distributori sotto controllo, 2. 279 violazioni contestate dalla GdF - Autoblog [www.autoblog.it]

2 days ago

IEAk uste du petrolioaren eskaintzak ez duela gora egingo urte amaierara arte - Berria [www.berria.eus]

1 day ago

Timur Tengah Memanas, Harga Minyak Dunia Bertahan Dekat US$ 89 per Barel [www.liputan6.com]

about 19 hours ago

Diesel prices surge on tightening global supply | BOE Report [boereport.com]

3 days ago

Petrol OPEC raporuyla geriledi [www.borsaningundemi.com]

about 14 hours ago

Petróleo sobe com impasse entre EUA e Irã e ataques a navios no Oriente Médio - BPMoney [bpmoney.com.br]

1 day ago

Opec erwartet schwächere Nachfrage nach Öl | cash [www.cash.ch]

1 day ago

Teerão contraria Trump e diz manter controlo sobre estreito de Ormuz [www.cmjornal.pt]

about 8 hours ago

Carburanti, frodi e prezzi nel mirino della Guardia di Finanza: sequestrate 20mila tonnellate, 265 denunciati - CN24TV [cn24tv.it]

3 days ago

Breaking! AS-Iran Kembali Memanas, Negosiasi Damai Buntu [www.cnbcindonesia.com]

about 20 hours ago

IEA warns of deepening global oil supply crisis in 2026 [cryptobriefing.com]

1 day ago