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Norway Progress Party becomes largest party in polls

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2026-10-07 13:01 UTC → 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC · added ~~removed~~

The Progress Party (Frp) has become Norway’s largest political party according to a September poll conducted by Opinion for Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse. The party reached 32.5 percent support, marking an increase of 3.4 percentage points from the previous month. This result places the Progress Party 18.2 percentage points ahead of the Conservative Party (Høyre), which sits at 14.3 percent. This gap represents the largest difference between the two parties since Opinion began political polling in 2007. Election researcher Johannes Bergh noted that the Progress Party has overtaken the Conservatives in the role of a “credible governing party.” The Labour Party (Arbeiderpartiet) remains the second-largest party with 20.6 percent support. Other party standings include Rødt at 7.9 percent, SV at 5.0 percent, Sp at 4.5 percent, KrF at 4.2 percent, MDG at 3.7 percent, and Venstre at 3.4 percent. By October, political commentator Trond Birkedal suggested the party’s growth to levels above 30 percent is largely driven by the political struggles of competitors, specifically the Conservatives. Birkedal cited voter dissatisfaction with the Conservatives regarding internal disagreements over fuel tax cuts. While the party’s previous reputation regarding social values has not hindered its growth, Birkedal warned that leader Sylvi Listhaug lacks the “broad organizational loyalty and team-building” seen in former leader Siv Jensen, which could leave the party vulnerable if polling trends shift. By October, new polling data indicates a significant shift in the parliamentary landscape. The Progress Party, the Red Party (Rødt), and the Centre Party (Sp) would collectively hold 87 seats in the Storting, surpassing the 85-seat majority threshold. This contrasts with the Labour and Conservative parties, which are projected to receive only 63 seats combined. In terms of policy, Progress Party leader Sylvi Listhaug and Christian Democratic Party (KrF) leader Dag Inge Ulstein have signaled closer cooperation regarding energy.

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