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Florida Gubernatorial Race: Tightening Margins and Funding

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2026-10-30 04:53 UTC → 2026-11-02 21:57 UTC · added ~~removed~~

Florida Gubernatorial Race: Tightening Margins and Funding G

The Florida gubernatorial race between Republican Byron Donalds and Democrat David Jolly continues to tighten as the election approaches. While Donalds has raised over $115 million compared to Jolly’s $15.8 million, election analysts have shifted the race to a “Toss up,” noting that Donalds’ probability of winning recently decreased from 68% to 60%. Recent University of North Florida polling indicates a technical tie, with Donalds leading 49% to Jolly’s 47%—a margin that falls within the poll’s 2.81% margin of error. Demographic shifts remain evident: Donalds holds a 51% lead among Cuban Americans, but Jolly leads among Puerto Rican voters (51% to 35%) and the broader Latino electorate (48% to 43%). ~~Recent polling~~ Early in-person voting data shows ~~Donalds leading Jolly by an average of 4.7 percentage points across multiple surveys.~~ a Republican advantage, with 234,959 registered Republicans having cast ballots compared to 210,883 registered Democrats. Additionally, 156 local Florida officials have endorsed Donalds. Campaigning has intensified in ~~South Florida;~~ the final days. Donalds has focused on immigration, law and order, and opposition to ~~communism in Little Havana, while~~ transgender policies for children, positioning himself as a successor to Governor Ron DeSantis. Jolly has met with religious leaders ~~in Deerfield Beach~~ to discuss ~~housing,~~ housing and healthcare, and ~~education. Jolly~~ has ~~accused Donalds of representing special interests~~ faced criticism following comments suggesting that transgender participation in utilities, insurance, and big tech. Political tensions have escalated as candidates trade personal criticisms. Jacksonville legislator Angie Nixon alleged Donalds does not support Black voters, while Jolly has questioned Donalds’ past legal history. Donalds has also received significant sports is a constitutional question for the courts. Republican support ~~from~~ remains high, with Donald ~~Trump, who held~~ Trump holding a rally in Fort Myers to boost ~~Republican~~ turnout. ~~In the final days before the November 3 election,~~ Donalds has also received significant support from Donald Trump Jr. ~~joined Donalds at a get-out-the-vote rally in Hialeah as part of~~ during the “Defending the Florida Dream” bus tour. ~~During the event, Florida Chief Financial Officer Blaise Ingoglia noted~~ Despite Donalds leading 51% to 45% in recent Stetson University polling, data indicates that ~~current polling is closer than the campaign would prefer.~~ Republican margins in statewide races have narrowed compared to mid-October.

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