US-Iran military conflict and political fallout

The conflict with Iran, involving military actions such as ‘Operation Epic Fury’ launched in late February 2026, has caused significant geopolitical and economic instability. Reports indicate that prior to the conflict, former Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard warned President Donald Trump that assassinating Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei could lead to a more hardline regime and that Tehran might respond by closing the Strait of Hormuz. Following the outbreak of hostilities, Iran has restricted passage through the Strait, resulting in global energy market disruptions and increased fuel prices.

As the U.S. midterm elections approach, the war has become a point of political contention. White House insiders have reportedly advised Republican candidates to distance themselves from the administration’s war messaging due to negative polling and the absence of a clear winning strategy. This reflects internal divisions within the Republican Party, as some lawmakers have criticized the commencement of the conflict without congressional approval.