[REVISION HISTORY]

Vietnam trade and agricultural sector developments

Updated 37 times since CLSTR started tracking revisions of this situation.

What changed

2026-10-26 12:57 UTC → 2026-10-27 16:06 UTC · added ~~removed~~

Vietnam’s trade landscape is characterized by high-value manufacturing and shifting agricultural trends. By the end of the third quarter, total import-export turnover reached $888 billion, a 30.4% increase year-on-year. In September 2026, trade activity surged to $117.69 billion, a 42.4% year-on-year increase, allowing the country to achieve a monthly trade surplus of $1.27 billion. As of mid-October, total exports reached $463.7 billion, up 25.9% from the previous ~~year.~~ year, providing a foundation to pursue an annual export growth target of 15-16%. The electronics, computers, and components sector remains a primary driver, with ~~exports to China and the United States hitting record highs in September. Analysts expect~~ analysts expecting continued double-digit growth driven by global demand for artificial intelligence ~~investments.~~ investments and market diversification into the European Union and South Korea. Agricultural sectors show diverse performance. Coffee exports reached a record $8.5 billion during the 2025-2026 crop year, with production increasing 6-10% to approximately 1.9 million tons. Robusta beans accounted for over 90% of production, with the European Union serving as the largest market. Fruit and vegetable exports reached nearly $7.4 billion in the first nine months, with durian emerging as a leading commodity at $3.5 billion. ~~However,~~ In the seafood sector, the industry ~~faces post-harvest losses of 20-30% due to fragmented production and inadequate cold storage. Crab~~ is targeting $12 billion in annual exports ~~also grew by 27%~~ for 2026. Shrimp remains a primary driver, with exports reaching $3.29 billion in the first eight ~~months, though heavy reliance on China remains a vulnerability. Cinnamon exports to~~ months. However, the sector faces challenges in the United States due to a 12.5% Section 301 tariff. Other commodities include crab, which grew by ~~27.3%, helping offset falling demand in Asia. Rice markets~~ 27% in the Mekong Delta have remained largely stable through October. Export-grade varieties like CL 555, IR 504, and OM 5451 showed little price fluctuation, while retail prices for Jasmine and Nàng Nhen rice remained steady. While the strategic shift toward high-quality fragrant rice continues, the broader economy previously faced inflationary pressures, with the Consumer Price Index rising 4.52% during the first ~~nine months of 2026.~~ eight months, and cinnamon, which saw 27.3% growth in U.S. exports.

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