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Vietnam climate change and weather patterns

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2026-10-28 05:14 UTC → 2026-10-28 13:09 UTC · added ~~removed~~

The Vietnamese Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development released updated 2025 climate change scenarios incorporating the latest IPCC research. These projections highlight increased risks of extreme weather, including rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves. Specifically, under high-emission scenarios, average annual temperatures in cities like Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City could rise by up to 3.4°C by the end of the century. Recent meteorological observations reflect these shifting patterns. Following an unusually hot October with record-breaking temperatures in provinces such as Son La and Lai Chau, Northern Vietnam is transitioning to cooler conditions. A moderate cold air mass is forecasted to arrive around November 1 or 2, bringing scattered showers and dropping temperatures, though meteorologists note that El Nino’s continued presence may influence long-term climate trends through early 2027. In Central Vietnam, heavy rainfall is expected from October 28 through October 29, with the most intense precipitation concentrated between Ha Tinh and Da Nang. The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting predicts common rainfall levels between 50-120mm, with localized areas potentially exceeding 250mm. Authorities warn of high-intensity rainfall exceeding 100mm within a three-hour window, posing significant threats of flash floods, landslides in mountainous areas, and urban inundation. Other regions, including Thanh Hoa, Nghe An, and parts of the central coast from Quang Ngai to Khanh Hoa, are forecast to see showers and localized heavy rain over 80mm. In the South, scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected. Maritime activities in the North East Sea, including the Hoang Sa archipelago, remain under alert due to strong northeast winds with gusts reaching levels 8-9 and waves between 2 to 4 meters. Coastal areas from Nam Quang Tri to Da Nang are also experiencing rough seas, with potential for tornadoes and strong gusts in the South China Sea and Gulf of Thailand.

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