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[POLITICS] · Argentina · 13 sources

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Part of situation: Argentina 2027 Peronist election contest (17 clusters)

Argentina presidential polls show parity between Milei and Kicillof

Argentine elections Javier Milei Axel Kicillof Sergio Massa polling data

Recent political analysis and polling in Argentina indicate a highly competitive landscape for the 2027 presidential elections. Polling data from QSocial suggests that President Javier Milei faces significant challenges in a potential runoff against Buenos Aires Governor Axel Kicillof, where Kicillof leads by a single percentage point (42% to 41%). However, if the runoff were against Sergio Massa, Milei would hold an advantage with 42% against Massa's 38%.

In a separate poll by Proyección, a technical tie was reported between Milei and Kicillof in a runoff scenario, with both candidates receiving 39.9% of the vote. These findings highlight the intense parity between the current administration and the Peronist opposition.

Simultaneously, Peronist factions are reorganizing. Sergio Massa is actively mobilizing the Frente Renovador structure in the Buenos Aires province to prepare for future electoral contests. Meanwhile, political analysts have raised concerns regarding Milei's economic policies and his relationship with various political sectors, noting the social and economic pressures facing Argentine households.

Entities

Argentina · Axel Kicillof · Javier Milei · La Libertad Avanza · QSocial · Sergio Massa

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.

  • [● 2 SOURCES] In a first-round scenario against Sergio Massa, Javier Milei holds 31% of voter intention. fm-open.com.ar · federalaldia.com.ar
  • [● 2 SOURCES] In a first-round scenario against Axel Kicillof, Javier Milei holds 31% of voter intention. fm-open.com.ar · federalaldia.com.ar
  • [● 2 SOURCES] In a runoff scenario against Sergio Massa, Javier Milei leads with 42% compared to Massa's 38%. fm-open.com.ar · federalaldia.com.ar
  • [○ 1 SOURCE] A poll by Proyección shows a technical tie between Javier Milei and Axel Kicillof at 39.9% each in a runoff scenario. noticias.perfil.com
  • [● 2 SOURCES] In a runoff scenario against Axel Kicillof, Kicillof leads with 42% compared to Milei's 41%. fm-open.com.ar · federalaldia.com.ar
  • [○ 1 SOURCE] Sergio Massa is mobilizing the Frente Renovador structure in Buenos Aires province for the 2027 elections. fralo.com.ar

Sources

Primero hay que saber sufrir [www.agensur.info]
El duro reproche de Viale a Milei: "Se está enojando con la realidad" [elmonterizo.com]
Una nueva encuesta electoral midió a Milei contra Kicillof y contra Massa [fm-open.com.ar]
Y si no es Milei ¿Quién sería el candidato de La Libertad Avanza? Y Santiago Azulay, ¿es el delegado de Kicillof? - LA RED 88. 3 LA RIOJA [laredlarioja.com.ar]
SEGÚN UNA ENCUESTA, KICILLOF LE GANARÍA A MILEI EN UN ESCENARIO DE BALOTAJE [federalaldia.com.ar]
Massa y Máximo aceleran la sucesión de Kicillof: Santa María pide pista y Quintela suma gobernadores [fralo.com.ar]
El insulto como política de Estado: la injuria habla más de quien la dice que de quien la recibe [mendozatoday.com.ar]
JORGE ASÍS SENTENCIÓ A JAVIER MILEI:"EL CÍRCULO ROJO LE PICÓ EL BOLETO" [multimediosprisma.com]
¿El próximo presidente insultará, o volveremos a la normalidad? [diariopanorama.com]
Jorge Asís sentenció a Milei: “El círculo rojo le picó el boleto” [elintransigente.com]
El deber de advertir: por qué es importante hablar sobre la salud mental de un presidente [fm899.com.ar]
Noticias | La encuesta que muestra cabeza a cabeza a Milei y Kicillof para 2027 [noticias.perfil.com]
"La gente se muere del hambre": Agustín Rossi cuestionó duramente al Gobierno de Javier Milei en QR! [www.perfil.com]