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Brazil electoral polls show tight races in Alagoas and Bahia
Recent polling data reveals highly competitive electoral landscapes in the Brazilian states of Alagoas and Bahia for the 2026 elections.
In Alagoas, a Quaest survey indicates a technical tie for the governorship between Renan Filho (MDB) at 42% and JHC (PSDB) at 40%. The race for the two Senate seats is also closely contested, with Arthur Lira (PP) leading at 20%, followed by Renan Calheiros (MDB) at 18% and Marina JHC (PSDB) at 15%. The margin of error for these results is 3 percentage points.
In Bahia, the race for governor shows significant shifts. While an Opnus poll placed Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) at 43% against ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 40%, a DataTrends survey suggests a technical tie, with Neto at 43% and Rodrigues at 41%. The Senate race in Bahia features Rui Costa (PT) and Jaques Wagner (PT) as leading figures. The political environment remains volatile as various institutes release new data throughout the week.
Entities
ACM Neto · Arthur Lira · Bahia · DataTrends · Instituto Veritá · JHC · Jerônimo Rodrigues · Marina JHC · Renan Calheiros · Renan Filho
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Jerônimo Rodrigues has 35.8% of the vote in the Bahia gubernatorial race according to Instituto Veritá. visaocidade.com.br
- [○ 1 SOURCE] ACM Neto holds 56.1% of the vote in the Bahia gubernatorial race according to Instituto Veritá. visaocidade.com.br
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Rui Costa is leading the race for a Senate seat in Bahia according to DataTrends. revistaforum.com.br
- [○ 1 SOURCE] In a runoff between ACM Neto and Jerônimo Rodrigues, Neto would receive 57.2% of the votes. visaocidade.com.br
- [○ 1 SOURCE] ACM Neto and Jerônimo Rodrigues are in a technical tie for the Bahia governorship according to DataTrends. revistaforum.com.br