Brazil coffee exports fall 5.9% through July

Brazilian coffee exports fell 5.9% during the first seven months of the year, totaling 20.8 million 60-kg bags, according to data from the Coffee Exporters Council of Brazil (Cecafé). Despite this overall decline, July saw a 9.9% increase in shipments compared to the same month last year.

Cecafé President Márcio Ferreira attributed the year-to-date decline to harvest delays caused by rainfall and logistical bottlenecks at Brazilian ports. These infrastructure issues have resulted in additional storage costs and financial losses for exporters. Additionally, coffee revenues for the period dropped 13.1% year-on-year to $7.449 billion.

The market is currently navigating conflicting supply signals. While the USDA projected a significant production increase for the 2026/27 season, weather risks such as El Niño, irregular rainfall, and excessive heat threaten to reduce expected crops by 15–20%. This tension between high production expectations and potential weather-driven shortages is influencing coffee price volatility.