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Brazil grain production projected to reach 360.8 million tons in 2025/26
Brazil's grain production for the 2025/26 harvest is projected to reach 360.8 million tons, according to the latest report from Conab. This represents a 2.4% increase compared to the previous cycle, driven by a 2.1% expansion in cultivated area to 83.5 million hectares.
Soybeans remain the country's primary agricultural product, with an estimated production of 180.5 million tons. Corn production is expected to reach 143 million tons, though adverse weather conditions in the Northeast have impacted development in parts of Bahia, Sergipe, and Alagoas. In Mato Grosso, the second-crop corn harvest is nearly complete, with production reaching a record 57.39 million tons.
Other crops show mixed results: wheat production is estimated to fall by 26.2%, and rice production is expected to decrease due to a 14% reduction in cultivated area. Meanwhile, beef exports saw a 16.83% decline in July compared to 2025, largely due to reduced demand from China as its import quotas approach completion.
Entities
Brazil · China · Conab · Mato Grosso · Sinograin · USDA · United States · United States Department of Agriculture
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] China's Sinograin sold approximately 89% of 516,000 tons of imported soybeans in its recent auction. www.cnnbrasil.com.br
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Brazilian beef exports in July totaled 257,983 thousand tons, a 16.83% decrease compared to July 2025.
- [DISPUTED] Brazil's 2026/27 soybean production estimate was maintained at 186 million tons. www.infomoney.com.br · www.cnnbrasil.com.br
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Brazil's 2025/26 corn production projection was increased to 140 million tons. www.cnnbrasil.com.br
- [● 2 SOURCES] US soybean production for 2026/27 was revised upward to 4.519 billion bushels. www.cnnbrasil.com.br
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Soybean net margins in mid-north Mato Grosso are projected to fall to 2.8% for the 2026/27 harvest. www.cnnbrasil.com.br
- [● 3 SOURCES] The USDA raised US corn production projections for the 2026/27 crop to 16.013 billion bushels. www.cnnbrasil.com.br · blog.pricegroup.com
- [○ 1 SOURCE] US sugar stocks-to-use ratio for 2025-26 was cut to 13.4%. foodindustryexecutive.com
- [○ 1 SOURCE] The USDA cut the US sugar stocks-to-use ratio for 2025-26 to 13.4%. foodindustryexecutive.com
- [● 11 SOURCES] Brazil's grain production for the 2025/26 harvest is estimated by Conab to reach 360.8 million tons. esportenaredemt.com.br · informa1.com.br · itapevinoticias.com.br · portalolm.com.br · tvtribunape.com.br · +5 more
- [● 11 SOURCES] Soybean production in Brazil is estimated to reach 180.5 million tons for the 2025/26 harvest. esportenaredemt.com.br · informa1.com.br · itapevinoticias.com.br · maranhaodagente.com.br · caririceara.com · +4 more
- [● 10 SOURCES] Corn production in Brazil is projected to reach 143 million tons for the 2025/26 harvest. esportenaredemt.com.br · informa1.com.br · itapevinoticias.com.br · maranhaodagente.com.br · caririceara.com · +4 more