Get alerts on this situation
We’ll email you as it develops, and you can follow the whole thread from day one.
Unsubscribe anytime.
[SITUATION] · [ACTIVE]
4 clusters · 27 sources · 14 days · First seen · Last updated
Categories: BUSINESS
Brazil grain production and soybean prices
Entities: Brazil · SISDAGRO · Mato Grosso · Organização das Cooperativas Brasileiras (OCB) · ApexBrasil
Overview
In mid‑July, consultants projected a record Brazilian corn harvest of about 145 million tonnes for the 2026/27 season and a total grain output of 360 million tonnes for 2025/26, with soybean planting area expanding and prices reaching a six‑month high of roughly R$141 per 60‑kg sack. By the weekend of 25‑27 July, soybean prices at the Santos and Paranaguá ports surged past R$148 per sack, a 4.01 % weekly gain and an 11.07 % rise for the month, as strong Chinese demand, a weaker real and limited spot‑market supply lifted the market.
Later in July, SISDAGRO forecasts indicated the 2026 total harvest would total 347.4 million tonnes, a modest 0.4 % increase over the previous year, with soybeans projected at 174.8 million tonnes and corn at 136.5 million tonnes. The government reaffirmed its goal of opening more than 700 international markets, already counting 660 new outlets and expecting further expansion after the Mercosur‑EU agreement. Weather modelling for Mato Grosso suggested a high likelihood of dry conditions and sufficient harvest days, while a possible “super” El Niño prompted risk‑mitigation plans for the 2026/27 season. Agro‑cooperatives reported an 11.2 % rise in revenue to R$487.3 billion and export sales of about US$17 billion, underscoring the sector’s continued export momentum.
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how well corroborated each claim is across sources.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] SISDAGRO indicates an 84.1% probability of at least seven harvest‑suitable days in Sorriso (MT) between late July and early August. (cbb51890-e5e3-42dc-9a96-6ff65f8d5a74)
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Minister of Agriculture André de Paula said Brazil aims to open more than 700 new markets in 2026 and already counts 660. (8640994c-bb2b-40d6-bd0f-6736075c9ae6)
- [○ 1 SOURCE] ApexBrasil identified 39 products (30 agribusiness, 9 industrial) in Mato Grosso do Sul with export potential to the EU under the Mercosur‑EU deal. (7221fbf1-b4ea-4a23-a063-884736ee930a)
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Brazil's 2026 agricultural output is projected at 347.4 million tonnes, including 174.8 million tonnes of soybeans and 136.5 million tonnes of corn. (5fb81eb6-a025-4321-bf2d-e13775eb78d0)
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Cooperative agro‑business revenues reached R$ 487.3 billion in 2025, up 11.2% year‑on‑year. (c5d42fd2-61d3-4efe-8aa0-837b46cec949)
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Cooperatives' export sales totaled about US$ 17 billion in 2025, led by coffee, soy, poultry, pork and soy oil. (c5d42fd2-61d3-4efe-8aa0-837b46cec949)
- [○ 1 SOURCE] A possible super El Niño could delay the start of the rainy season in Central‑West Brazil, prompting producers to adopt risk‑mitigation measures for the 2026/27 crop cycle. (76ad15fc-439c-459a-a43d-8d87e6283fe1)
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Engineers and technology specialists in Mato Grosso earn average monthly salaries above R$ 10 000, with control and automation experts reaching R$ 12 313.43. (c745a5b3-b65c-4672-b855-9891ba5779d1)
Timeline
-
1 day ago
[BUSINESS] 12 sourcesBrazil projects 2026 harvest of 347.4 million tonnes and pushes for new export marketsBrazil forecasts a 347.4 million‑ton 2026 harvest, expects to exceed a 700‑market opening goal, and highlights export chances for Mato Grosso do Sul, amid rising cooperative revenues and climate‑risk planning.
-
7 days ago
[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesBrazil soybean prices rise above R$148 per sackBrazilian soybean prices topped R$148 per sack in late July, driven by strong Chinese demand, a weaker real, and limited supply, while regional prices varied across export ports and interior markets.
-
9 days ago
[BUSINESS] 7 sourcesBrazil soybean prices hit yearly high before slippingBrazil soybean prices rose to a yearly high of R$142.65 per sack on strong Chinese demand and oil‐price support, then slipped in many regions while still up weekly, with Chicago contracts down modestly.
-
15 days ago
[BUSINESS] 8 sourcesBrazil projects record corn output and mixed grain forecasts for 2026/27Brazil forecasts a record 145 Mt corn harvest for 2026/27, total grain output of 360 Mt, soybean prices at six‑month highs with area to hit 49 M ha, rice prices above R$63 and coffee exports may reach 45 M bags
Sources
agron.com.br · agronews.tv.br · arroyodiario.com.ar · biomassabioenergia.com.br · blogdovestibular.com · bpmoney.com.br · capitalnews.com.br · cenariomt.com.br · conteudos.cnnbrasil.com.br · doaaquemdoer.com.br · economia.estadao.com.br · exame.com · farmnews.com.br · globorural.globo.com · mittelaltergazette.de · mixvale.com.br · momentomt.com.br · mspost.com.br · noticiaexata.com.br · nx1.com.br · oempallador.com.br · omatogrosso.com · rdmonline.com.br · revistacafeicultura.com.br · revistagloborural.globo.com · spacemoney.com.br · superconda.com.br