Brazil gubernatorial polls: João Campos leads in Pernambuco, Jorginho Mello dominates in Santa Catarina

A Real Time Big Data survey of 1,600 voters in Pernambuco shows João Campos (PSB) ahead of incumbent governor Raquel Lyra (PSD) with 45% of first‑round intent, rising to 46% in a simulated runoff, while Lyra holds 40%‑41%. The same poll records President Lula (PT) commanding 57% nationally in the first round and 60% in a potential second round, far ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro.

In Santa Catarina, a separate Mapa poll released by Jovem Pan News indicates incumbent governor Jorginho Mello (PL) at 54.9% support, far exceeding the 15.3% for João Rodrigues and 5.1% for Gelson Merisio. Analysts note the stability of Mello’s lead and a subtle fragmentation within the right‑wing electorate, with minor gains for figures such as Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado. The findings suggest continued dominance for leading candidates while opposition parties remain dispersed.