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[POLITICS] · Brazil · 91 sources

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Brazil 2026 elections show technical tie between Lula and Bolsonaro

As Brazil approaches the 2026 general elections on October 4, recent polling indicates a highly competitive race for the presidency. According to AtlasIntel/Bloomberg, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro are in a technical tie for a potential second round, with Bolsonaro holding 47.7% and Lula 47.6%. In a first-round simulation, Lula leads with 45.3% against Bolsonaro's 42.2%. Another poll by Meio/Ideia shows a similar deadlock, placing Lula at 39.4% and Bolsonaro at 38.4% in the first round.

Amidst the campaigning, the Brazilian Intelligence Agency (ABIN) has reportedly informed foreign delegations of alleged interference by the United States and Russia in the electoral process. While specific details regarding Russian involvement were not provided, officials noted that U.S. actions ranged from judicial measures to openly acknowledged interference.

Logistical preparations are underway across various regions. Several municipalities, including Macaé and João Pessoa, have announced free public transportation to facilitate voter access. In Rio Grande do Sul, intermunicipal transport will be free for both election rounds. Meanwhile, local authorities in cities like Anchieta and Mogi Guaçu are implementing changes to polling locations and road closures to ensure orderly voting.

Entities

Abin · AtlasIntel · Brasil · Brazil · Cleitinho Azevedo · Consórcio CriBus · Criciúma · Flávio Bolsonaro · Futura Inteligência · Kassio Nunes Marques · Leonardo Cezar Ribeiro · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

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