Brazilians split on blame for U.S. 25% tariff – Bolsonaro family vs Lula government

U.S. tariff Bolsonaro family Lula government Brazil public opinion AtlasIntel poll

The United States imposed a 25% tariff on Brazilian products beginning on 22 July 2026. An AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll of 5,021 Brazilian adults conducted between 22 and 27 July asked who was responsible for the measure. Forty‑five point four percent said the Bolsonaro family, while 41.5 % blamed President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s government; 8.5 % held both equally responsible and 2.5 % said neither was to blame.

Respondents also judged the motive: 43.3 % saw the tariff as politically driven to influence Brazil’s presidential election, 39.6 % as economically motivated to protect U.S. interests, and 10.3 % as intended to bolster Donald Trump. A majority, 59.4 %, considered the tariff unjustified. Regarding possible retaliation, 49.3 % opposed invoking Brazil’s reciprocity law, while 38.5 % supported it.

Despite the trade dispute, 45.6 % believed Lula could negotiate a reduction, whereas 39.7 % were doubtful. The poll’s margin of error was ±1 percentage point with 95 % confidence.

Entities

Brazil · Donald Trump · Flávio Bolsonaro · Jair Bolsonaro · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · United States

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.

[● 8 SOURCES] The United States imposed a 25% tariff on Brazilian products starting 22 July 2026. www.metro1.com.br · www.dgabc.com.br · jovempan.com.br · www.diariodocentrodomundo.com.br · dev.tnonline.com.br · +3 more
[● 2 SOURCES] 49.3% of respondents oppose using Brazil’s reciprocity law to retaliate against the United States. dev.tnonline.com.br · tribunadepetropolis.com.br
[● 8 SOURCES] 8.5% of respondents said both the Bolsonaro family and Lula government were equally responsible. www.metro1.com.br · www.dgabc.com.br · jovempan.com.br · www.diariodocentrodomundo.com.br · dev.tnonline.com.br · +3 more
[● 8 SOURCES] AtlasIntel/Bloomberg surveyed 5,021 Brazilian adults between 22 and 27 July 2026. www.metro1.com.br · www.dgabc.com.br · jovempan.com.br · www.diariodocentrodomundo.com.br · dev.tnonline.com.br · +3 more
[● 8 SOURCES] 45.4% of respondents blamed the Bolsonaro family as primarily responsible for the tariffs. www.metro1.com.br · www.dgabc.com.br · jovempan.com.br · www.diariodocentrodomundo.com.br · dev.tnonline.com.br · +3 more
[● 8 SOURCES] 41.5% of respondents blamed President Lula’s government as primarily responsible for the tariffs. www.metro1.com.br · www.dgabc.com.br · jovempan.com.br · www.diariodocentrodomundo.com.br · dev.tnonline.com.br · +3 more
[● 8 SOURCES] 43.3% of respondents said the tariff’s main motive was political, to influence Brazil’s election. www.metro1.com.br · www.dgabc.com.br · jovempan.com.br · www.diariodocentrodomundo.com.br · dev.tnonline.com.br · +3 more
[● 3 SOURCES] 59.4% of respondents consider the tariff unjustified. www.dgabc.com.br · tnonline.uol.com.br · www.brasil247.com