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[BUSINESS] · Germany, France, Finland · 23 sources

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ECB President Lagarde warns of energy shock and rising bond yields

European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde has warned that the eurozone economy faces significant risks, with growth prospects tilted to the downside and inflation risks tilted to the upside. Speaking at the IMF meetings in Bangkok, Lagarde emphasized that the energy price shock caused by conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine is “too large to be ignored” and is expected to keep headline inflation well above the 2% target until the first half of 2027.

Lagarde noted that tightening financing conditions, driven by a global sell-off in bond markets and rising long-term interest rates, are already acting to slow economic activity. This shift in market yields is complicating the outlook for borrowers and may limit the ability of companies to pass increased energy costs to consumers. The ECB has raised interest rates twice in the last four months, and markets are anticipating a further increase to 2.75% in December.

Other central bank officials also voiced concerns. German Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel suggested that further monetary tightening might be necessary as the fight against inflation continues. Finland's Governor Olli Rehn cautioned policymakers to remain vigilant regarding second-round effects, where energy price spikes could lead to higher wages and sustained inflation. Additionally, Lagarde highlighted the importance of fiscal sustainability and described the digital euro project as an imminent initiative to foster innovation and competition in retail payments.

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Christine Lagarde · European Central Bank · Eurozone · International Monetary Fund · International Monetary and Financial Committee · Joachim Nagel · Middle East · Olli Rehn · World Economic Forum

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