Commodity markets see coffee prices fall while cocoa and sugar rise

Global industrial commodity markets are seeing divergent trends in coffee, cocoa, and sugar. Arabica coffee prices have weakened, trading around 3.1 USD/pound, driven by high supply from Brazil where over 90% of the harvest is complete. Despite short-term supply increases, long-term risks remain due to potential El Niño weather patterns affecting future flowering cycles.

In Vietnam, domestic coffee prices have continued to decline, with local purchase prices in the Central Highlands dropping by 1,000 VND/kg. On international exchanges, Robusta and Arabica futures both faced selling pressure, with significant decreases noted on the London and New York markets.

Conversely, cocoa prices have surged above 6,200 USD/ton, reaching their highest levels since July. This spike is driven by supply concerns for the 2026/27 season, as weather issues in major producing regions like Ivory Coast and Ghana threaten yields. Additionally, US sugar futures have risen above 18 cents/pound amid fears of potential shortages.