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19 clusters · 44 sources · 57 days · First seen · Last updated

Global coffee price volatility and supply pressures

Overview

Global coffee markets remain volatile due to supply concerns and climate risks. While analysts previously warned of potential price increases exceeding 300 percent, market trends shifted toward a decline in mid-September 2026 due to abundant supply from Brazil.

In Vietnam, domestic prices in the Central Highlands have experienced significant fluctuations. Following a sharp decline in early October that saw prices drop below 92,000 VND/kg, prices in key provinces such as Dak Lak, Gia Lai, and Dak Nong have rebounded. As of October 11, 2026, prices in these regions have risen to approximately 93,000 VND/kg, while Lam Dong remains slightly lower at 92,200 VND/kg.

On the international market, trends continue to diverge by coffee type. London Robusta futures have seen a recovery, with the November 2026 contract increasing by 47 USD to approximately 3,470 USD/ton. Conversely, New York Arabica prices continue to face downward pressure, with the December 2026 contract decreasing to 286.95 US cents per pound.

Vietnam’s export profile shows a growing emphasis on processed goods, with processed coffee exports reaching 1.2 billion USD, a 1.7% increase compared to 2025. While the European Union remains a primary market, Vietnam is expanding its presence in North America; specifically, its market share in total Canadian imports rose to 3.22% in the first seven months of 2026.

Climate risks remain a persistent factor, as the El Niño phenomenon has a 75% probability of remaining active until early 2027. Industry experts continue to emphasize a transition toward high-value deep processing and brand recognition to mitigate vulnerability to global price fluctuations, noting that despite producing nearly 40% of the world's Robusta, Vietnam must overcome a high reliance on raw material exports through technological investment and product diversification.

Entities

Vietnam · Brazil · Dak Lak · European Union · Central Highlands

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.

Timeline

  1. [BUSINESS] 8 sources
    Vietnam coffee prices rebound amid Robusta market recovery

    Vietnam's domestic coffee prices have rebounded to around 93,000 VND/kg, while international Robusta futures rose. Experts urge better branding to leverage Vietnam's massive global Robusta production.

  2. [BUSINESS] 3 sources
    Vietnam coffee exports rise as falling prices impact Italian roasters

    Vietnam's coffee exports rose by 15% in early 2026, but falling prices are providing relief to Italian roasters despite potential climate risks from El Niño.

  3. [BUSINESS] 7 sources
    Coffee prices rise globally amid weather concerns in Brazil and Vietnam

    Global coffee prices for Robusta and Arabica are rising due to weather concerns in Brazil and Vietnam, while Vietnamese domestic prices remain stable near 94,000 VND/kg as the new harvest begins.

  4. [BUSINESS] 9 sources
    Commodity markets: Coffee prices recover as rubber hits 13-year high

    On September 28, 2026, coffee prices in Vietnam recovered to 93,000-93,800 VND/kg, while rubber prices hit a 13-year high due to supply disruptions. Domestic pork prices have stabilized.

  5. [BUSINESS] 6 sources
    Coffee prices in Vietnam's Central Highlands face sharp decline

    Coffee prices in Vietnam's Central Highlands dropped by 800 VND/kg to approximately 92,200-93,000 VND/kg amid global supply concerns, while tilapia prices rose due to strong Japanese exports.

  6. [BUSINESS] 13 sources
    Vietnam commodity markets see coffee price drops and pork stability amid oil supply shocks

    Vietnam's agricultural markets show mixed trends: coffee prices fell domestically while pork prices stabilized. Globally, crude oil prices surged due to Saudi Arabian supply disruptions.

  7. [BUSINESS] 5 sources
    Coffee prices decline globally and in Vietnam

    Coffee prices in Vietnam and global markets declined due to high supply forecasts from Brazil, with Robusta and Arabica prices falling on international exchanges.

  8. [BUSINESS] 8 sources
    Vietnam coffee and pepper markets show mixed trends

    Vietnam's coffee and pepper markets show stability and growth, with Robusta prices rising on the London exchange and Vietnam maintaining a strong global supply position.

  9. [BUSINESS] 3 sources
    Vietnam coffee exports poised for growth amid sustainability demand

    Vietnam's coffee exports rose over 10% in the first eight months of 2026, with growth expected to continue as the industry prepares for EU deforestation regulations.

  10. [BUSINESS] 5 sources
    Vietnam coffee and pepper markets show stability amid global price shifts

    Vietnam's coffee prices are fluctuating between 94,200 and 95,000 VND/kg following international market declines, while pepper prices remain stable between 135,000 and 137,000 VND/kg.

  11. [BUSINESS] 7 sources
    Vietnam coffee prices rise amid shift toward deep processing

    Vietnam's coffee prices are recovering in the Central Highlands, while the industry shifts toward deep processing and climate-resilient practices to increase export value and mitigate weather risks.

  12. [BUSINESS] 6 sources
    Vietnam coffee and pepper prices remain stable

    Vietnam's domestic coffee prices stabilized between 95,000 and 95,700 VND/kg on September 2, while pepper prices remained steady. International coffee markets showed mixed trends for Robusta and Arabica.

  13. [BUSINESS] 4 sources
    Coffee prices face potential 300 percent surge amid supply concerns

    Global coffee prices are rising due to harvest delays in Brazil, declining US Arabica stocks, and the potential impact of El Nino, with some experts warning of price surges exceeding 300 percent.

  14. [BUSINESS] 9 sources
    Vietnam coffee prices rise amid global market volatility

    Vietnam's coffee prices in the Central Highlands rose to approximately 95,000-95,700 VND/kg, while global markets face volatility due to low Arabica stocks and weather concerns in Brazil.

  15. [BUSINESS] 3 sources
    Commodity markets see coffee prices fall while cocoa and sugar rise

    Coffee prices are declining due to high Brazilian supply and domestic drops in Vietnam, while cocoa and sugar prices are rising amid supply concerns and weather risks in West Africa.

  16. [BUSINESS] 2 sources
    Coffee prices rise in the Netherlands due to supply shortages

    Rising coffee prices in the Netherlands, driven by poor harvests in Brazil and Vietnam and high production costs, are significantly impacting consumer budgets and retail prices.

  17. [BUSINESS] 9 sources
    Vietnam coffee market sees price volatility and export growth

    Vietnam's coffee market faces price volatility amid shifting global trends. While domestic prices dipped, export volumes remain strong, and Nestlé has expanded production capacity in Đồng Nai.

  18. [BUSINESS] 5 sources
    Coffee prices rise as Arabica costs surge

    Rising Arabica coffee and energy costs are pressuring the hospitality sector, though espresso price hikes have lagged behind the 80% surge in raw material costs.

  19. [BUSINESS] 4 sources
    Coffee prices face surge from EU regulations and weather

    Coffee prices may rise up to 332% due to proposed EU pesticide regulations on imports and extreme weather in Brazil and Vietnam affecting crop yields and supply.

Sources

baochinhphu.vn · baogialai.com.vn · baolaocai.vn · baoxaydung.vn · beverfood.com · blitzquotidiano.it · cafebiz.vn · cafef.vn · cremonasera.it · doanhnghiephoinhap.vn · doanhnghieptiepthi.vn · efeagro.com · es.vietnamplus.vn · gospodarka.gazeta.pl · helpconsumatori.it · informareonline.com · kienthuc.net.vn · kinhdoanhvaphattrien.vn · kobieta.onet.pl · moin.de · mojegotowanie.pl · nguoichannuoi.vn · nhandan.vn · nnmt.net.vn · notizie.com · portaldoagronegocio.com.br · prensa-latina.cu · sitebarra.com.br · soha.vn · thanhnien.vn · thoibaonganhang.vn · thoibaotaichinhvietnam.vn · thueringen24.de · thuonggiaonline.vn · thuonghieusanpham.vn · tienphong.vn · tuoitre.vn · unionesarda.it · vendingnews.it · vietnamplus.vn · vtv.vn · vulturenews.net · zh.vietnamplus.vn · zielona.interia.pl

This summary has been updated 36 times: see revision history