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El Niño could reach historic intensity, impacting Brazil
The National Institute for Space Research (Inpe) reports that the El Niño phenomenon is likely to reach 'very strong' intensity during the October-November-December quarter. This event could be among the most intense recorded since 1950, according to the El Niño 2026-2027 Panel.
Climate projections for Brazil indicate significant regional variations. Southern Brazil is expected to experience above-average rainfall, increasing the risk of floods and heavy storms. In contrast, the North and Northeast regions face higher risks of drought and forest fires due to reduced precipitation and elevated temperatures. Parts of the Southeast and eastern Northeast may also see above-average rainfall.
Sea surface temperature anomalies in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific exceeded 2 °C at the end of September, as confirmed by CPC/NOAA data. Temperatures are expected to remain above average across much of the country.
Entities
Brazil · CPC/NOAA · El Niño · Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais · National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration · Pacific Ocean
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
- [● 19 SOURCES] Southern Brazil is expected to experience above-average rainfall and potential flooding. fatopaulista.com.br · gazeta24h.com · informa1.com.br · jornalenoticias.com.br · mauaagora.com.br · +14 more
- [● 19 SOURCES] The phenomenon could be among the most intense recorded since 1950. fatopaulista.com.br · gazeta24h.com · informa1.com.br · jornalenoticias.com.br · mauaagora.com.br · +14 more
- [● 19 SOURCES] There is a 95% probability that El Niño will reach 'very strong' intensity during the October-November-December quarter. fatopaulista.com.br · gazeta24h.com · informa1.com.br · jornalenoticias.com.br · mauaagora.com.br · +14 more
- [● 19 SOURCES] Northern and Northeastern Brazil face increased drought risks and higher fire risks due to low rainfall and high temperatures. fatopaulista.com.br · gazeta24h.com · informa1.com.br · jornalenoticias.com.br · mauaagora.com.br · +14 more
- [● 19 SOURCES] Sea surface temperature anomalies in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific exceeded 2 °C at the end of September. fatopaulista.com.br · gazeta24h.com · informa1.com.br · jornalenoticias.com.br · mauaagora.com.br · +14 more
- [● 19 SOURCES] Temperatures are expected to remain above average across much of Brazil. fatopaulista.com.br · gazeta24h.com · informa1.com.br · jornalenoticias.com.br · mauaagora.com.br · +14 more