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El Niño triggers extreme weather and agricultural risks globally
The El Niño phenomenon is driving significant climatic shifts across the globe, with severe implications for agriculture and human safety. In Argentina's Misiones province, saturated soils are causing runoff and erosion, threatening crops such as tobacco, corn, and cassava.
In Uruguay, Inumet has confirmed a ‘very strong’ El Niño event for 2026-2027, predicting above-normal rainfall that will likely affect the entire country, particularly the northern regions. This follows a period of below-average rainfall in the south.
In Burundi, the United Nations World Food Programme warns that over one million people could be severely affected by heavy rainfall expected to begin in late October.
Additionally, a study by World Weather Attribution found that climate change and El Niño combined to make the rapid intensification of Hurricane Polo significantly more likely, contributing to its rise to category 5 status and resulting in at least five deaths. While El Niño brings extreme weather, scientists also note its complex role, such as potentially influencing hurricane activity in the Atlantic and providing milder winters in parts of the United States.
Entities
Burundi · Caribbean · Celeste Saulo · Copernicus Climate Change Service · Ecuador · El Niño · Guatemala · Inumet · Japan Meteorological Agency · Kenya Meteorological Services Authority · Latin America · Misiones
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
- [● 9 SOURCES] There is a nearly 100% probability that El Niño will remain active until at least February 2027. correiodovale.com.br · ts.mk · asiesnuestravida.com.ar · www.hispanospress.com · www.informe73.com.br
- [● 3 SOURCES] El Niño does not automatically guarantee heavy rainfall in Kenya. axadletimes.com
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Approximately 25.8 million children in Latin America and the Caribbean are threatened by the phenomenon. televen.com
- [● 13 SOURCES] The El Niño phenomenon is expected to peak in intensity in December 2026. see.mv · correiodovale.com.br · asiesnuestravida.com.ar · ts.mk · www.informe73.com.br
- [● 5 SOURCES] El Niño is expected to persist until at least February 2027. thepngbulletin.com · asiesnuestravida.com.ar · correiodovale.com.br · www.informe73.com.br · ts.mk
- [● 8 SOURCES] The Niño 3.4 index could reach approximately 3.7°C above normal between October and December. correiodovale.com.br · www.hispanospress.com · www.informe73.com.br · ts.mk · yesilhaber.net
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Industrial anchoveta fishing in Peru has seen a drastic decline due to rising sea temperatures. www.perupesquero.org
- [● 3 SOURCES] Sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific reached up to 4°C above average.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] El Niño impacts could push at least 49 million more people toward severe food insecurity by the end of 2027. www.topalbaniaradio.com
- [● 3 SOURCES] Sea surface temperatures in the Niño 3.4 monitoring zone reached an all-time high of 29.7°C in September. axadletimes.com · crprensa.com · www.tntvnews.pf
- [● 2 SOURCES] Ecuador's Inamhi warned of potential floods, landslides, and rising rivers in the Coast, Sierra, and Amazon regions. www.aldia.com.ec
- [○ 1 SOURCE] The Super Niño phenomenon will cause an atypical climate in Argentina, combining intense precipitation with low temperatures. rosariolaciudad.com.ar