Brazil: Lula unveils Rio security plan amid tight 2026 election race

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.

• [● 16 SOURCES] In a second-round simulation, Lula has 46% and Flávio Bolsonaro has 44%. www.tvyumuri.cu · www.sanjuanpordentro.net · www.metro1.com.br · bsbtimes.com.br · cn7.com.br
• [● 2 SOURCES] Flávio Bolsonaro leads Lula in a second-round simulation with 42% against 40%. pautapb.com.br
• [DISPUTED] In a first-round simulation, Flávio Bolsonaro has 40% and Lula has 37%. mspost.com.br · bsbtimes.com.br · cn7.com.br · www.sanjuanpordentro.net · www.metro1.com.br
• [● 21 SOURCES] The Datafolha poll shows a technical tie in both the first and second rounds with a 2 percentage point margin of error. bsbtimes.com.br · cn7.com.br · www.sanjuanpordentro.net · estadaoalagoas.com.br · jornaloexpresso.com · +3 more
• [DISPUTED] In a first-round simulation, Lula has 39% and Flávio Bolsonaro has 36%. mspost.com.br · bsbtimes.com.br · cn7.com.br · www.sanjuanpordentro.net · estadaoalagoas.com.br · +4 more
• [● 9 SOURCES] A Gerp poll shows Flávio Bolsonaro leading Lula with 50% to 43% in a second-round scenario. mspost.com.br · www.metro1.com.br · bsbtimes.com.br · cn7.com.br · estadaoalagoas.com.br
• [● 6 SOURCES] Senator Flávio Bolsonaro holds 41.7% of the first-round voting intentions. www.tvyumuri.cu · www.radiomayabeque.icrt.cu
• [● 13 SOURCES] In the first round, Lula has 39% and Flávio Bolsonaro has 36%. www.tvyumuri.cu · www.radiomayabeque.icrt.cu · www.sanjuanpordentro.net · www.metro1.com.br · diariodopara.com.br · +2 more
• [● 14 SOURCES] Lula has 46% in the second round; Flávio Bolsonaro, 44%. bsbtimes.com.br · cn7.com.br · www.sanjuanpordentro.net · estadaoalagoas.com.br · litoralnarede.com.br · +1 more
• [○ 1 SOURCE] Flávio Bolsonaro would win against Lula in the second round with 46% to 44%.
• [DISPUTED] Flávio leads with 48.1% and opens a 4.4 point gap in the second round over Lula, who has 43.7%. www.radiomayabeque.icrt.cu
• [○ 1 SOURCE] President Lula accused Flávio Bolsonaro of being implicated in a corruption scandal involving Master Bank. dominicanaaldia.com