Marine Le Pen leads 2027 French presidential polls

Recent polling for the 2027 French presidential election indicates a shifting political landscape. Marine Le Pen of the Rassemblement National remains the dominant figure, leading first-round intentions with approximately 35% to 38% of the vote. In most scenarios, she is projected to win a second-round runoff against any major opponent.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon, leader of La France Insoumise, has shown significant momentum, with his support rising from 12% in April to between 16% and 17%. According to Harris Interactive-Toluna polling, Mélenchon could qualify for the second round in three out of five tested scenarios, often facing Le Pen. In these configurations, he is positioned to compete closely with Édouard Philippe.

Other notable developments include Raphaël Glucksmann announcing his candidacy to represent the moderate left. While center-right candidates like Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe face challenges in reaching the second round in several models, the political field remains highly fragmented as various factions attempt to consolidate their voter bases ahead of the 2027 vote.