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France 2027 presidential election: Le Pen and Mélenchon lead in polls
Recent polling and social studies indicate significant political shifts and rising tension in France ahead of the 2027 presidential election. A Toluna Harris Interactive poll conducted between October 5 and 8 suggests that Marine Le Pen, leader of the Rassemblement National, and Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise are the frontrunners. In all five tested scenarios, the two candidates are projected to face each other in the second round, with Le Pen expected to secure 35% to 37% of the vote in the first round and win the runoff decisively.
This trend highlights increasing political polarization as President Emmanuel Macron’s second term nears its end. Analysts note a weakening political center and a fragile economy, creating space for hardline parties.
Separately, the Baromètre de la République, conducted by Ipsos bva and CESI, reveals deep social discontent. The study reports that 98% of French citizens express feeling dissatisfied or angry, and 79% believe there will be a strong demand for radical changes in how the country is governed.
Entities
Emmanuel Macron · Jean-Luc Mélenchon · La France Insoumise · Marine Le Pen · Rassemblement National · Édouard Philippe
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
- [● 4 SOURCES] In a potential second round between the two, Le Pen is projected to win easily against Mélenchon. telegraph.md · athina984.gr · www.iefimerida.gr · www.stiripesurse.ro
- [● 4 SOURCES] Marine Le Pen is credited with 35% to 37% of the vote in the first round. telegraph.md · athina984.gr · www.iefimerida.gr · www.stiripesurse.ro
- [○ 1 SOURCE] 79% of French people believe voters will demand significant changes in how the country is governed. presseagence.fr
- [○ 1 SOURCE] 98% of French citizens report feeling dissatisfied or angry. presseagence.fr
- [● 4 SOURCES] Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon are projected to reach the second round of the 2027 French presidential election in all five tested scenarios. telegraph.md · athina984.gr · www.iefimerida.gr · www.stiripesurse.ro