Marine Le Pen leads in 2027 French presidential election polls

Recent polling for the 2027 French presidential election indicates a strong position for Marine Le Pen, who leads in all tested second-round scenarios with support ranging between 33% and 35% in the first round. Depending on the configuration of other candidates, she is projected to win the second round against various opponents, including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, and Jean-Luc Mélenchon.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon is showing increased momentum, with some scenarios placing him in the second round. His support fluctuates between 16% and 19% depending on whether the centrist bloc is unified or divided between candidates like Philippe and Attal. Meanwhile, the centrist and left-wing blocs remain fragmented among several figures, including Raphaël Glucksmann, Fabien Roussel, and Marine Tondelier.

In terms of policy, Édouard Philippe has expressed interest in adopting a German-style unemployment insurance model, proposing a maximum of twelve months of benefits for those under 50, as a means to address France’s significant national deficit.