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[BUSINESS] · United States, Russia, Ukraine, Brazil, China · 11 sources

started · updated

Commodity markets surge on Black Sea tensions and US crop concerns

Global commodity markets are experiencing significant volatility, driven by geopolitical tensions in the Black Sea and shifting agricultural outlooks in the United States.

Wheat futures on the Chicago Board of Trade have surged to a three-year high, reaching approximately 7.84 USD per bushel. This spike is largely attributed to the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with concerns rising over potential strikes on critical infrastructure and the disruption of grain exports from the Black Sea region.

Corn and soybean markets are also seeing substantial gains. Corn prices have hit a three-year high, supported by lower-than-expected US corn yield estimates from the Pro Farmer survey, which projects 173.2 bushels per acre. Additionally, the USDA reported a decrease in the percentage of US corn crops rated as 'good' or 'excellent' to 57% due to adverse weather.

Soybean prices have reached a two-and-a-half-year high, bolstered by strong demand from China and climate concerns in the US Midwest. Meanwhile, cocoa futures on the ICE New York exchange saw a sharp increase of 6.66%, closing at 6,456 USD per metric ton, driven by supply concerns in West Africa and signs of recovering demand from the chocolate industry.

Entities

Barry Callebaut AG · Black Sea · COMEX · Chicago Board of Trade · ICE · KGHM · LME · Russia · S&P Global · USDA · United States Department of Agriculture

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.

  • [○ 1 SOURCE] Copper contracts in the US reached a record 6.7775 USD per pound on August 26
  • [DISPUTED] US corn futures maintained a position above 5 USD per bushel
  • [● 2 SOURCES] The Pro Farmer survey estimates US corn yield at 173.2 bushels per acre. www.cliquef5.com.br
  • [DISPUTED] Soybean futures rose to approximately 12.5 USD per bushel
  • [○ 1 SOURCE] Wheat prices reached their highest level since June 2023
  • [○ 1 SOURCE] Cocoa futures on the ICE New York exchange closed up 6.66% at 6,456 USD per metric ton. forexclub.pl
  • [● 2 SOURCES] Wheat futures on the Chicago Board of Trade reached a three-year high. www.moneytimes.com.br
  • [● 2 SOURCES] Soybean prices reached a two-and-a-half-year high on the Chicago Board of Trade. www.moneytimes.com.br
  • [○ 1 SOURCE] The 2027 soybean contract on the Chicago Board of Trade is approaching US$ 13.00 per bushel. www.agronews.tv.br
  • [○ 1 SOURCE] The Pro Farmer Crop Tour estimated the US corn crop at 389.7 million tons. www.cliquef5.com.br
  • [● 2 SOURCES] The percentage of US corn crops rated as 'good' or 'excellent' decreased to 57%. www.cliquef5.com.br
  • [● 3 SOURCES] Military escalation in the Black Sea region is driving up commodity prices due to risks to exports. www.agronews.tv.br · www.moneytimes.com.br