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[SITUATION] · [ACTIVE]
33 clusters · 84 sources · 55 days · First seen · Last updated
Categories: BUSINESS
US grain futures rise on weather risk, China demand
Entities: Brazil · China · Argentina · United States Department of Agriculture
Overview
The USDA’s 2026/27 outlook lowered the U.S. wheat forecast to a 1970‑low and trimmed corn ending stocks while a modest soybean increase reflected reduced acreage and drought damage. Those revisions set the tone for volatile futures as traders watched weather‑sensitive regions.
In late July, Chicago grain futures showed U.S. soybeans gaining 0.8% to $12.53 per bushel, corn largely unchanged and wheat falling. The soybean rally was fueled by forecasts of below‑average rain during the flowering stage across the Midwest and Great Plains, and by reports that China purchased roughly one million tonnes of U.S. soy for later shipment.
CFTC data indicated agricultural fund managers boosted net long positions on CME corn contracts by 55% and soy contracts by 105% over the prior week, underscoring heightened speculative exposure to tighter U.S. crop conditions. USDA figures showed drought‑affected corn‑planted area rising to 20%.
Export activity remained strong: USDA data confirmed old‑crop soy sales at 100% of the full‑year target and new‑crop sales more than 135% higher than a year earlier. The dry outlook for the Dakotas, Iowa, Minnesota and Wisconsin, combined with strong Chinese import demand, lifted soybeans on the Chicago board and kept global grain markets closely linked to Asian buying patterns.
Latin American exporters Brazil and Argentina continued to dominate world soy, corn and wheat shipments, while currency moves in the real and peso influenced farm revenues and competitiveness.
Overall, the USDA forecast cuts, expanding drought, speculative positioning and robust Chinese demand continued to shape price swings across U.S. corn, soybean and wheat futures.
Timeline
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2 days ago
[BUSINESS] 5 sourcesSoybean Futures Rise on Dry Weather Outlook and Strong Export DemandSoybean futures rose over 10 cents on a dry Midwest outlook and strong USDA export demand; Latin American grain markets showed soy up, corn flat and wheat down, reflecting Brazil‑Argentina export strength and C
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4 days ago
[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesUS soybean and corn markets rise on weather worries and Chinese demandU.S. soy futures rose on dry‑weather forecasts and strong Chinese demand, while corn steadied; fund managers boosted long bets on both grains amid drought concerns.
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9 days ago
[BUSINESS] 10 sourcesUSDA cuts US wheat forecast, sparking worldwide grain market shiftsUSDA cuts U.S. wheat output to a 1970 low, trims corn stocks and nudges soy up; global cereal production falls, grain shipments rise, CME adds sorghum futures, and South Africa, Russia, and Zimbabwe see notable
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13 days ago
[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesUS Grain Futures Slip as Favorable Weather Boosts Yields and Global SuppliesUS corn, soybean and wheat futures fell as Midwest weather improved yields and global supplies from Ukraine and Brazil weighed on demand for US grain shipments.
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15 days ago
[BUSINESS] 10 sourcesCommodity futures shift on July 14 as US crop data and Black Sea tensions drive pricesOn July 14, Brazil’s cattle prices held steady in São Paulo and rose to R$325 in Bahia, while Chicago futures saw corn and soy slip, wheat rise to $6.45 amid Black Sea tensions and USDA crop reports, and corn f
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15 days ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS corn and soybean condition ratings rise ahead of heat waveUSDA reports 68% of corn and 65% of soybeans in good to excellent condition, up slightly, as a heat wave looms over the northern Corn Belt.
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15 days ago
[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesAustralian hay market sees muted demand as farmers await new cropAustralian fodder demand is muted as ample old‑crop hay supplies meet slower buyer interest; prices vary $150‑$500/t, with farmers eyeing cash crops and the 2026 season expected to be strong.
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16 days ago
[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesAustralian grain growers see limited benefit from global price surgeGlobal grain futures rose ~5% on tight U.S. wheat supplies and geopolitical factors, but Australian cash grain prices stayed flat around AU$350‑380/t for wheat and AU$800‑850/t for canola.
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17 days ago
[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesCommodity markets rally on supply worries and geopolitical tensionsCommodity prices jumped globally, with agriculture, base metals and oil rising on supply worries, weather events and geopolitical tensions; gold fell while palladium edged up.
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18 days ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS grain futures climb on USDA data as milk prices hold steadyUS grain futures rose after a USDA report showed higher soy production and demand, while analysts expect milk prices to stay firm through Q3 2026 despite ample supply.
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20 days ago
[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesUSDA soy report and oil price dip pressure Brazil marketsUSDA soy report, a 500k‑tonne China sale, and falling oil prices push Brazil markets into caution ahead of the data release.
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20 days ago
[BUSINESS] 8 sourcesUS grain futures slip as weather outlook improves ahead of USDA reportUS soybean and corn futures fell ~0.9% as milder Midwest weather eased crop concerns; wheat rose ~2% ahead of the USDA’s July supply‑demand report, which also cuts U.S. wheat outlook to a 1970 low.
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21 days ago
[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesChina buys 300,000 t of U.S. soybeans, bolstering Chicago futuresChina’s Cofco bought around 300,000 t of U.S. soybeans, supporting Chicago futures and nudging global soy prices higher.
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21 days ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesBrazilian soy and wheat prices rise as farmers reject state interventionBrazilian soy prices rose and wheat fell as a farmer survey revealed strong anti‑state sentiment and higher trust in the U.S. over China.
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21 days ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesGlobal grain markets rally on US weather, Chinese soybean demand and war‑linked supply risksGrain futures rose sharply on US weather worries, Chinese soybean buying and Black Sea supply risks, while Australian prices stayed flat and fertiliser costs fell.
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21 days ago
[BUSINESS] 8 sourcesSoybean Prices Jump Globally as Heat Forecasts Boost US Futures and Chinese DemandSoybean futures rose worldwide in early July on U.S. heat forecasts, renewed Chinese buying, and strong Brazilian and Argentine market activity.
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21 days ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUSDA reports crop conditions in Wisconsin and KansasUSDA reports Wisconsin had 4.6 suitable field days with strong corn and wheat conditions, while Kansas logged 2.6 days and mixed moisture levels across crops.
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22 days ago
[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesUS corn crop holds steady as USDA reports modest soybean declineUSDA reports corn at 67% good‑to‑excellent, unchanged, while soybean conditions dip to 64%; regional variations noted across Iowa, Illinois and Oklahoma.
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26 days ago
[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesChina resumes U.S. soybean purchases, farmers face uncertain outlookChina has restarted buying U.S. soybeans under a deal committing 12 Mt in 2025 and 25 Mt annually through 2028, boosting exports but still below pre‑war levels; farmers remain cautious about long‑term demand.
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29 days ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesGlobal grain and oil markets stay steady despite massive fund sell‑offCanola prices stay steady despite falling crude; fund liquidation cuts oil and wheat positions; US wheat yields revised lower, SPR at historic low, while corn stocks dip and cattle supplies tighten.
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about 1 month ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesU.S. Corn and Soybean Markets Face Mixed Outlook Ahead of USDA Crop ReportsU.S. corn and soybeans see mixed market moves as cool, wet weather slows growth; high tar‑spot risk and upcoming USDA reports add uncertainty.
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about 1 month ago
[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesUS soybean and corn futures rebound as oil prices riseUS soybean and corn futures rebounded on higher oil prices; crop conditions stay strong and export inspections remain steady as markets await USDA supply reports.
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about 1 month ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS Corn and Bean Futures Prices for June 2026 PostedJune 2026 cash grain bids list corn at about $4.00‑$4.16, beans at $11.30‑$11.50, and wheat near $5.45 per bushel across US cooperatives.
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about 1 month ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesArgentina grain market steadies amid Chicago futures closure for JuneteenthArgentina's wheat hit ARS 295,610/ton as soy stayed steady and corn fell after Chicago futures closed for Juneteenth, prompting lower trading volume and a weaker peso.
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about 1 month ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS Corn Futures Slip Ahead of Juneteenth Holiday Amid Mixed Export DataUS corn futures fell 5‑6 cents ahead of the Juneteenth holiday as USDA export sales hit a four‑week high and heavy rains are forecast across the Western Corn Belt.
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about 1 month ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesSoybean Futures Hold Steady as Funds Return to Chicago and Argentine Prices Stay FirmFunds rebuild U.S. soybean futures in Chicago amid drought worries, while Argentine soy prices stay stable thanks to a strong peso‑dollar rate.
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about 1 month ago
[BUSINESS] 6 sourcesBrazil grain and commodity markets lift on US‑Iran peace deal and falling oil pricesUS‑Iran peace lowered oil, boosting Brazil grain futures; corn, wheat and soy rise while domestic corn faces second‑crop pressure; export volumes surge and Copom’s rate cut keeps Ibovespa cautious.
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about 2 months ago
[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesCorn futures slip in Chicago and Brazil on higher USDA stocks and falling oilCorn futures fell on CBOT and Brazil’s B3 as USDA’s WASDE report showed higher U.S. stocks and oil prices dropped, lowering ethanol demand and reinforcing global supply concerns.
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about 2 months ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesU.S. grain markets see lower trade ahead of USDA supply‑demand reportU.S. grain markets anticipate lower trade and modest price declines as USDA supply‑demand data and weather updates are awaited.
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about 2 months ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesChina’s shifting demand reshapes soy, corn and beef markets worldwideChina’s varying demand affects soy, corn and beef markets: boosting Brazil’s soy exports, reducing U.S. corn reliance, and potentially tightening U.S. beef supply and prices.
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about 2 months ago
[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesSoybean and corn futures rise on Chicago exchange as USDA report and Brazilian market factors weighSoybean futures rose on Chicago exchange ahead of USDA data, while Brazilian corn prices fell to 2026 lows amid a fast‑moving safrinha harvest, a strong dollar and high Selic expectations.
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about 2 months ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesGlobal grain futures slide while investors stay in soy oilGrain futures fell on U.S. and European exchanges as investors cut wheat and corn exposure but stayed invested in soy oil, amid ample supply and strong oilseed demand.
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about 2 months ago
[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesUS Grain Futures Drop on Favorable Midwest WeatherUS corn, soybean and wheat futures fell on the Chicago board as Midwest weather raised yield expectations and global supplies dampened demand.
Sources
acbc.com.au · admisi.com · afnews.com.br · agrobiznes.md · agron.com.br · agronews.tv.br · agropopular.com · ambientdesign.com · archynewsy.com · arroyodiario.com.ar · basket-luxembourg.lu · bichosdecampo.com · blog.pricegroup.com · borsagundem.com · bpmoney.com.br · braforalivet.se · brasilemfolhas.com · brownfieldagnews.com · cknxnewstoday.ca · comprerural.com · conteudos.cnnbrasil.com.br · contilnetnoticias.com.br · cyprusshippingnews.com · diariovictoria.com.ar · exame.com · farmnews.com.br · farmonline.com.au · farmweekly.com.au · feedlotmagazine.com · fieldcropnews.com · finans.mynet.com · foreignpolicyjournal.com · freightnews.co.za · fxnewsgroup.com · globorural.globo.com · hotsite.cnnbrasil.com.br · infocampo.com.ar · infomoney.com.br · iowaagribusinessradionetwork.com · kansaspolicy.org · kiowacountypress.net · leiagora.com.br · lksfans.pl · m.scmp.com · malatyaguncel.com · marinelink.com · mecardo.com.au · mgfamiliar.net