[CLSTR]
< Back to all clusters
[INTERNATIONAL] · India · 5 sources

started · updated

Part of situation: India monsoon deficit and El Niño rabi crop risks (17 clusters)

India monsoon rainfall deficit reaches 15% amid El Niño risks

monsoon deficit El Niño Indian agriculture rainfall patterns kharif crops

India is experiencing a 15 per cent monsoon rainfall deficit compared to the long-period average. While the all-India shortfall has stabilized recently, regional variations are significant. South India has seen a 27 per cent deficit, and East India a 26 per cent deficit, whereas Central and Northwest India recorded relatively better figures.

Strengthening El Niño conditions pose a significant risk to the agricultural outlook and are expected to persist into 2027. However, the impact on kharif crops has been partially mitigated because sowing is largely complete and July saw surplus rainfall. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) moving into positive territory may help offset some negative El Niño effects.

In Delhi, the Southwest Monsoon concluded its shortest spell in 14 years, lasting only 83 days. Despite the shorter duration, the city recorded 16 per cent more rainfall than normal, with Safdarjung seeing 728.6 mm against the normal 629.7 mm. In Rajasthan, experts noted that while the monsoon was weaker, there is no direct correlation between low rainfall and the intensity of the upcoming winter, though soil moisture levels may affect irrigation needs for rabi crops.

Entities

Delhi · Dolat Capital · El Niño · ICICI Bank Research · India · India Meteorological Department · Indian Ocean Dipole · Madhya Pradesh · Rajasthan · Uttar Pradesh

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.

  • [○ 1 SOURCE] Strengthening El Nino conditions pose an elevated risk to rainfall in the coming days. www.latestly.com
  • [○ 1 SOURCE] El Niño is expected to continue well into 2027.
  • [○ 1 SOURCE] The Southwest Monsoon in Delhi lasted 83 days, its shortest spell in 14 years. www.millenniumpost.in
  • [○ 1 SOURCE] There is no direct link between low monsoon rainfall and the intensity of winter. dainiknavajyoti.com
  • [DISPUTED] The all-India rainfall shortfall remained flat at 15 per cent this week.
  • [○ 1 SOURCE] South India recorded a 27 per cent rainfall deficit, while East India recorded a 26 per cent deficit. www.latestly.com
  • [DISPUTED] India’s monsoon rainfall deficit has widened to 15 per cent of the long-period average. www.latestly.com
  • [DISPUTED] Delhi's Safdarjung area recorded 728.6 mm of rainfall, which is 16 per cent above normal. www.millenniumpost.in

Sources

प्रदेश में कमजोर रहा मानसून, विशेषज्ञ बोले: सर्दी पर नहीं पड़ेगा सीधा असर [dainiknavajyoti.com]
Business News | India's Monsoon Deficit Widens to 15%, Strengthening El Nino Poses Farm Risk: Report [www.latestly.com]
Delhi sees shortest monsoon spell in 14 years [www.millenniumpost.in]
Delhi Weather LATEST Update: Rain To Return From September 26, IMD Issues Forecast [newsable.asianetnews.com]
India’s Weak Monsoon Withdrawal Triggers Prolonged Drought, Crop Stress Across Key Farm States [www.downtoearth.org.in]