India-UK Trade Deal CETA Begins, Projecting Trade to Double by 2030

The India‑UK Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) entered into force on 15 July 2026. The pact eliminates UK duties on 99 percent of Indian tariff lines and grants UK firms access to 137 Indian services sub‑sectors, one of the broadest service commitments in any UK trade deal.

Key provisions include a mobility chapter that creates defined categories for business visitors, intra‑corporate transferees and independent professionals, and a commitment to mutually recognise professional qualifications. The Double Contribution Convention ends dual social‑security payments for Indian professionals on temporary UK assignments, with a five‑year exemption expected to benefit over 75,000 workers.

Industry estimates suggest bilateral trade could rise from about US$58 billion in 2025‑26 to roughly US$120 billion by 2030. The agreement does not alter student visa rules, but the anticipated trade expansion may increase demand for graduates familiar with both markets. Sector‑specific gains are outlined for textiles, agriculture, pharmaceuticals, engineering, electronics and other areas, while safeguards protect India’s sensitive industries.