Texas Senate race between Talarico and Paxton tightens in new polls

The Texas Senate race between Republican nominee Ken Paxton and Democratic nominee James Talarico has become a highly competitive contest as the 2026 midterms approach. Recent polling from AARP shows Talarico holding a slight lead of 48% to 44% among likely voters, though Paxton maintains a significant advantage of 53% to 40% among voters aged 50 and older.

Political tension has escalated as Talarico’s campaign accuses Paxton of avoiding public accountability and dodging debate invitations. Conversely, critics have noted a surge in Republican fundraising emails for Paxton, which some observers interpret as a sign of campaign urgency. The race is currently characterized as a toss-up by political analysts, with key voter concerns centering on the cost of living, Social Security, and Medicare.