Jordan Bardella Leads French 2027 Presidential Poll as Philippe Falls Behind Mélenchon

A new Odoxa poll for Public Sénat shows Jordan Bardella of the Rassemblement National solidly ahead in the race for France's 2027 presidential election. Former prime minister Édouard Philippe, previously seen as the centrist contender, has slipped to third place with about 17 % support, closely trailed by Jean‑Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise at 16 %. Other candidates include Raphaël Glucksmann at 11 % and smaller shares for Éric Zemmour and Marine Tondelier.

Philippe’s decline is linked to ongoing legal investigations concerning alleged misuse of public funds in his hometown of Le Havre, which have damaged his image of stability. Mélenchon’s rise follows the early formalisation of his candidacy and increased visibility on the left, despite persistent polarisation. Analysts note that the shifting second‑place dynamics could alter potential runoff scenarios, potentially strengthening Bardella’s chances if a Bardella‑Mélenchon contest materialises, as opposed to the previously anticipated Bardella‑Philippe face‑off.