Marine Le Pen leads 2027 French presidential polls

2027 French presidential election Marine Le Pen Jean-Luc Mélenchon National Rally French politics

Marine Le Pen, leader of the National Rally, has officially launched her campaign for the 2027 French presidential election. A recent poll by Toluna Harris Interactive, conducted between September 8 and 10, shows Le Pen leading the race with a projected 33% to 36% of the vote in the first round.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise is projected to follow in most scenarios, potentially reaching the second round in at least three out of five tested scenarios with 15.5% to 17% of the vote. Projections suggest Le Pen would win a second-round runoff against Mélenchon by a comfortable margin. Former Prime Minister Édouard Philippe is noted as the only center-right candidate capable of competing with or surpassing Mélenchon in certain scenarios.

Le Pen’s platform emphasizes ‘national preference,’ promising priority access to social housing, state aid, and medical care for French citizens. She also pledged to lower the retirement age back to 62 and reduce taxes on essential utilities. The political landscape is increasingly polarized as the era of Emmanuel Macron draws to a close, leaving a weakened political center and a struggling economy.

Entities

Emmanuel Macron · Jean-Luc Mélenchon · La France Insoumise · Marine Le Pen · National Rally · Rassemblement National · Toluna Harris Interactive · Édouard Philippe

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.

[● 15 SOURCES] Edouard Philippe is the only center-right candidate to surpass or tie with Mélenchon in the analyzed scenarios. adevarul.ro · www.newsit.gr · stirileprotv.ro · www.stiripesurse.ro · www.zougla.gr · +10 more
[● 15 SOURCES] Jean-Luc Mélenchon is projected to receive between 15.5% and 17% of the vote and reach the second round in at least three of five scenarios. adevarul.ro · www.newsit.gr · stirileprotv.ro · www.stiripesurse.ro · www.zougla.gr · +10 more
[● 17 SOURCES] Marine Le Pen is projected to receive between 33% and 36% of the first-round vote. adevarul.ro · www.newsit.gr · stirileprotv.ro · www.stiripesurse.ro · www.zougla.gr · +12 more
[● 16 SOURCES] The poll was conducted between September 8 and September 10. adevarul.ro · www.newsit.gr · stirileprotv.ro · www.stiripesurse.ro · www.zougla.gr · +11 more
[● 16 SOURCES] Marine Le Pen is projected to win a second-round runoff against Jean-Luc Mélenchon by a comfortable margin. www.tromaktiko.gr · www.epokaere.com · www.gazetebirlik.com · adevarul.ro · www.cumhuriyet.com.tr · +11 more
[● 2 SOURCES] Jordan Bardella has reportedly experienced tension with Le Pen regarding her decision to run for president. www.kurierverlag.de · kurier.at
[● 6 SOURCES] Marine Le Pen has officially launched her presidential campaign in France. www.diepresse.com · www.kurierverlag.de · www.merkur.de · kurier.at · www.efsyn.gr · +1 more
[○ 1 SOURCE] Le Pen intends to promote family members and long-term loyalists within the party. kurier.at
[● 5 SOURCES] Le Pen proposes a policy of national preference for housing, state aid, and medical care. www.kurierverlag.de · www.merkur.de · www.diepresse.com · www.efsyn.gr · tr.euronews.com
[○ 1 SOURCE] Le Pen leads presidential polls with an estimated 33 to 36 percent of the vote in the first round. www.diepresse.com
[○ 1 SOURCE] Le Pen promises to lower the retirement age back to 62. www.diepresse.com
[● 2 SOURCES] Le Pen was sentenced to one year of imprisonment for embezzlement of EU funds. www.diepresse.com · kurier.at