Morena dominates polls in Mexican regions ahead of 2027 elections

Morena Mexican elections 2027 candidate polls Beto Granados Lorenia Valles

Recent opinion surveys across several Mexican states show the ruling Morena party holding strong leads in internal candidate preferences for the 2027 electoral cycle.

In Matamoros, mayoral incumbent Beto Granados commands 76.2% support among Morena voters, while the party’s federal deputy Mario López faces 80% opposition. In Zacatecas, Vero Díaz tops the list for Morena’s gubernatorial candidate with 31% of respondents, outpacing rivals Ulises Mejía and José Narro. Sonora’s survey places senator Lorenia Valles as the front‑runner for the Morena gubernatorial nomination, giving her 46.2% projected vote share against PAN and Movimiento Ciudadano contenders.

Additional data show limited influence of coalition partners the Green Party and PT, whose supporters in Ciudad Victoria often favor PAN candidates rather than Morena. In the State of México’s Huixquilucan, PAN holds a 52% municipal vote intention, but the municipality remains a strong base for the panist project.

Overall, Morena’s internal polls indicate a solid advantage in several key regions as the party prepares for candidate selection ahead of the 2027 elections.