Paraná governor race poll shows Sergio Moro leading with 42‑47% support

A June 2026 poll by Paraná Pesquisas surveyed 1,500 voters across 56 municipalities in the Brazilian state of Paraná. The poll, registered with the Electoral Justice (PR‑06978/2026), shows senator Sergio Moro (PL) as the front‑runner for governor, receiving 42.3% of preferences in the first stimulated scenario and 47.3% in a second scenario that removes former mayor Rafael Greca. Moro is also perceived by 47.9% of respondents as the most likely winner.

State deputy Requião Filho (PDT) follows with roughly 20% support, while former mayor Rafael Greca (MDB) trails at 13.9% in the first scenario. Candidate Sandro Alex (PSD), backed by Governor Ratinho Júnior, moves from 10.7% to 12.8% depending on the scenario. Smaller contenders such as businessman Tony Garcia and lawyer Luiz França each garner under 2%.

The poll’s margin of error is 2.6 points with a 95% confidence level. Rejection rates place Requião Filho at the top (35%), followed by Moro (23.6%).