Poland poll shows KO ahead while opposition parties could together command majority

A United Surveys poll commissioned by Virtual Poland surveyed 1,000 voters between 12‑14 June 2026. The Civic Coalition (Koalicja Obywatelska, KO) leads with 29.7 % support, an increase of 0.5 points since the previous May poll. Law and Justice (Prawo i Sprawiedliwość, PiS) follows at 24.1 %, up 1.2 points, while the Konfederacja Korony Polskiej headed by Grzegorz Braun gains 9.6 % of respondents, a rise of 1.4 points.

When translated into seats in the 460‑member Sejm, the poll projects KO obtaining 177 seats, PiS 140 seats, Braun’s party 43 seats, and other opposition groups (including the Confederation, Left and PSL) together holding 243 seats – enough for a parliamentary majority. By contrast, a governing coalition of KO, the Left and PSL would total 217 seats, 14 short of a majority.