Poland political polls show KO leading but coalition majority at risk

Recent political polling in Poland indicates a shifting landscape for both government and opposition. While Koalicja Obywatelska (KO) remains the leading party with support ranging between 30.2% and 31.4%, various forecasts suggest the current governing coalition may struggle to maintain a parliamentary majority. This is due to several coalition partners, including PSL and Polska 2050, falling below the electoral threshold in recent surveys.

The right-wing opposition shows significant presence, with Prawo i Sprawiedliwość (PiS) holding approximately 17.5% to 19.2% support, and Konfederacja following with 12.6% to 15.1%. Other parties expected to enter the Sejm include Konfederacja Korony Polskiej, Nowa Lewica, and Rozwój Plus.

In terms of individual politician trust, Karol Nawrocki leads the rankings with 51% trust, though his numbers have seen a slight decline. Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz (44%) and Radosław Sikorski (43%) follow. Prime Minister Donald Tusk saw a notable increase in trust, rising by 7 percentage points to 39%.