Romania's political crisis deepens as opinion polls dry up and public confidence wanes

A recent analysis by Valentin Naumescu, a presidential adviser and university professor, describes a “crisis of the positive majority,” arguing that trust in democratic institutions is eroding across Western democracies, including Romania.

At the same time, Romania has experienced an unprecedented two‑month gap with no published opinion polls on party support, despite a turbulent political climate. The last available data from the Avangarde institute (March 2026) placed the Social Democratic Party (PSD) at 22 % behind the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) at 35 %. More recent unpublished surveys from Avangarde and CURS, both traditionally favorable to PSD, have been withheld, and the latest INSCOP poll (mid‑May 2026) shows PSD falling to 17.5 %, again behind AUR (38.2 %). Analysts note that the lack of polling data hampers insight into voter intentions during this period of political instability.