Russia likely to launch partial military mobilisation, Swedish expert says

Military analyst Lieutenant Colonel Johan Huovinen of Sweden’s Defence University says Russia is preparing a new partial mobilisation, similar in scale to the 2022 call‑up of roughly 300,000 men. He notes that recruitment levels have fallen compared with the previous year, reducing the pool of volunteers. Huovinen expects the mobilisation to be delayed for several months and possibly postponed until after Russia’s September parliamentary election, as the Kremlin weighs public‑trust risks.

The mobilisation would target men in a specific age range, with conscripts receiving a mailed notice that must be collected; failure to do so could trigger police action. Huovinen warns that the authorities may intensify checks, including searches in public transport, to locate those summoned. He adds that the limited mobilisation in 2022 sparked notable public discontent, which could influence the timing of any new call‑up.