Russia plans massive mobilization and seeks North Korean military aid

Ukrainian intelligence reports indicate that Russia is preparing for a massive new wave of mobilization, aiming to recruit approximately 600,000 personnel between 2026 and 2027. The plan reportedly involves recruiting 300,000 individuals this year and another 300,000 next year to compensate for rising battlefield losses and a slowdown in voluntary contract recruitment. To facilitate this, Moscow is reportedly tightening military registration controls and expanding recruitment efforts to include individuals in penal colonies.

In addition to personnel shortages, Russia is seeking further military assistance from North Korea. Ukrainian intelligence suggests Moscow has requested a package including 120 ballistic missiles—specifically the KN-30, which is described as three times more powerful than previous models—six launchers, a missile unit, and a contingent of 30,000 to 50,000 soldiers.

Domestically, the Russian state's efforts to frame combatants as heroes face challenges. A study of the Russian labor market found that employers are often hesitant to hire voluntary combat veterans compared to those who completed mandatory service. Meanwhile, analysts suggest that the Kremlin may continue to escalate the conflict's narrative, potentially framing it as a broader war against NATO to justify continued military efforts and potential provocations against Baltic states.