Spanish right-wing parties surpass 50% in polls after Ceuta crisis

Recent polling by 40dB for El País and Cadena SER indicates a significant political shift in Spain following the mass migration crisis in the North African enclave of Ceuta in late July. The survey shows that the combined voting intention for the conservative Partido Popular (PP) and the far-right Vox has surpassed 50% for the first time in the current legislature, reaching 50.2%.

In contrast, the center-left bloc led by Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's PSOE and Sumar has seen a decline, with the left-wing grouping standing at approximately 36.1%. Vox has emerged as the fastest-growing party, with support rising to 17.8%, and is viewed by 27% of respondents as the party best equipped to handle immigration issues.

Regarding the Ceuta crisis, 89% of Spaniards attribute responsibility to Morocco, while 72% also hold the Spanish government accountable. Public sentiment toward Prime Minister Sánchez's management is largely negative, with 62.7% rating his response as 'bad' or 'very bad.' Additionally, there is strong public support for increased border security, with 82% of respondents backing expanded fencing and surveillance.