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[SITUATION] · [ACTIVE]

2 clusters · 20 sources · 13 days · First seen 13 days ago · Last updated about 9 hours ago

Categories: POLITICS

Spain poll shift deepens after scandals

Entities: People's Party (PP) · José Luis Ábalos · Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) · Santiago Abascal · Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Overview

Early July 2026 CIS polls showed the governing PSOE holding roughly 33 % of voter intention, a modest rise from June, while the PP slid to about 25 %, giving the Socialists a comfortable lead. The surveys coincided with high‑profile corruption cases, including the sentencing of former minister José Luis Ábalos and the indictment of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s wife, Begoña Gómez, which analysts said were dampening PSOE support.

A later poll released on 27 July reported a sharp reversal: PSOE support fell to around 26 %, its lowest level in the current term, while the centre‑right PP rose to roughly 33 % and the far‑right Vox reached about 17 %. Combined, the opposition parties would exceed the 50 % threshold, suggesting a potential parliamentary majority if the figures hold. The Andalusian barometer accompanying the poll showed 26.7 % of respondents trusting the PP to solve regional problems, compared with 21.5 % at the national level, and continued concern over housing, health and unemployment.

The rapid swing underscores how ongoing corruption investigations are reshaping Spain’s electoral landscape ahead of the 2027 general election.

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how well corroborated each claim is across sources.

[○ 1 SOURCE] The PSOE's vote intention is around 26.1% in the latest Sigma Dos poll. (fe7dc009-5cf3-403d-95de-95cae8f912d6)
[○ 1 SOURCE] The Partido Popular is projected at 32.8% of the vote in the same poll. (fe7dc009-5cf3-403d-95de-95cae8f912d6)
[○ 1 SOURCE] Vox is projected at 17.3% of the vote in the same poll. (f9f4e889-1e30-4fc9-9bfe-879b949b75bb)
[○ 1 SOURCE] The combined vote share of the PP and Vox exceeds 50% in the poll. (f9f4e889-1e30-4fc9-9bfe-879b949b75bb)
[○ 1 SOURCE] 26.7% of surveyed Andalusians trust the PP to solve regional problems. (4c60e10e-7994-4a5f-a81b-9416b4389ca8)
[○ 1 SOURCE] 21.5% of surveyed Andalusians trust the PP to solve national problems. (4c60e10e-7994-4a5f-a81b-9416b4389ca8)
[○ 1 SOURCE] Former minister José Luis Ábalos was convicted of corruption. (6b17b19d-28b2-49dd-aa69-ae4564c32fe9)
[○ 1 SOURCE] If the PP reaches 32.8% of the vote, it would obtain between 138 and 143 seats in the Congress. (f9f4e889-1e30-4fc9-9bfe-879b949b75bb)

Timeline

about 9 hours ago

[POLITICS] 10 sources
Spain Polls Show PSOE at Record Low as PP and Vox Near Majority
Spain polls show PSOE falling to 26% while PP at 33% and Vox at 17%, together overtaking 50%; Andalusian survey gives PP 26.7% regional trust, 21.5% nationally; corruption cases cited as hurting PSOE.
13 days ago

[POLITICS] 11 sources
Spain's PSOE ahead in July CIS poll as Ábalos conviction fuels shift
Spain's July CIS poll, taken after Ábalos' 24‑year sentence and Guardia Civil indictments, puts PSOE at ~33%, PP at ~25%, widening the lead to ~8 points; Vox stays third at ~15% amidst parliamentary motions and

Sources

akasyam.com · capital.es · catalunyapress.cat · diariodealmeria.es · diariodesevilla.es · eldiadecordoba.es · elplural.com · eltambor.es · es.catalunyapress.cat · europasur.es · granadahoy.com · hispanidad.com · huelvainformacion.es · imagenes.elpais.com · lacronicabadajoz.com · lamanyana.es · malagahoy.es · que.es · telenoticies.cat · WWW.diariodenavarra.es

This summary has been updated 1 time: see revision history